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Your Mind May Be Being Controlled

In decision making the quality of any decision you make is bounded by a series of strictures, the time you have to make the decision, the quality of the information you receive and your cognitive abilities to process the information you receive. Decision making can never be perfect because no collection of these inputs will…

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Is September Really The Worst Month?

The chart below from the website Chart of the Day has been doing the rounds of late. A variation on this chart has also appeared in Bloomberg and has been passed around a variety of news outlets. I am always interested in these sorts of charts and the narrative they are trying to convey. My…

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Why They Did It

“It’s like a comedy of errors,” Madoff told Soltes. “To cover the losses, I decided to take in money from hedge funds. And in order for me to do that, I had to commit to a long-term strategy that I wouldn’t send the money back [to investors]. I kept taking in more money, figuring that…

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A British app founded by three Cambridge graduates that predicts the next word you want to write using artificial intelligence has been bought by Microsoft for £174 million – but one of the three missed out after selling his stake for a bicycle. Chris Hill-Scott, who set the company up with Jon Reynolds and Ben Medlock in…

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Send Me Another Expert

Now that the jingoistic gush fest that is the Olympics is over we can all recover from the notion that every Australian athlete who actually performed up to expectations was a genius and that those that failed to do so still had a big future in front of them (most likely in hospitality) we can…

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The Monty Hall Problem

Imagine that you’re on a television game show and the host presents you with three closed doors. Behind one of them, sits a sparkling, brand-new Lincoln Continental; behind the other two, are smelly old goats. The host implores you to pick a door, and you select door #1. Then, the host, who is well-aware of…

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Is 2016 the Worst Year in History?

If you listened to the breathless and somewhat hysterical local media then you would think it is but then you would be wrong…… When news of the truck killings in Nice, France, broke last week, I started seeing variations of the same sentiment on Twitter and Facebook: Is this the worst year ever, or what?…

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