LATEST BLOGS

Where Do Returns Come From?

With the market making a valiant effort to push past 6,000 points I have been pondering where the gains in the market have come from over the past few years. In the past I have looked at the distribution of returns across groups of shares simply from the perspective of demonstrating that within a universe…

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Trading In Uncertain Times

The problem of trading in uncertain times crept up on the Mentor Program Alumni forum and I have been thinking about my answer. The original answer I gave is shown below – I think one of the things you need to be able to do is to define what is uncertainty. If you opt for…

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Jesse And The Quake

At eight o’clock in the morning of Wednesday April 18th 1906, Jesse Livermore was sound asleep in his New York hotel room after arriving back late from Palm Beach the previous evening. 3000 miles away, across the country in California, it was five o’clock in the morning and the city of San Francisco slept contentedly.…

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The Facts Of Luck

One of the greatest computer programmers of all time grew up near Seattle. He saw an upstart company, Intel, making computers on a chip and was among the first people to see the potential of these so-called microcomputers. He dedicated himself to writing software for the new device and, by one account, “wrote the software…

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A Day in the Life of a Food Vendor

It’s 6 on a Wednesday morning, and Kabir Ahmed has snoozed his alarm one too many times. He steps softly, barefoot, around his small, second-story apartment in Jamaica, Queens, creaking through the green and pink hall. He is late, but careful not to wake his wife and their three children, or his mother, who will…

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ON POWER LAWS AND TIME

  The most precious commodity in life is TIME. We never have enough of it. I personally squandered a lot of time in my twenties and thirties doing all sorts of random things. I was just busy being busy. It wasn’t until I turned 40 that I realized a couple of big things about TIME.…

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Timing Is Everything

It is no secret that I am not a fan of fund managers of any kind, be they the more exotic style of hedge fund that exists as an idiot tax for those who invest in them, the standard vanilla equity investment fund or the legally mandated rip off that are superannuation funds. My objection…

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