Attention, Social Interaction, and Investor Attraction to Lottery Stocks

We test the hypothesis that retail investors’ attraction to lottery stocks induces overvaluation, and is amplified by high attention and social interactions. The lottery premium (negative abnormal returns) is stronger for high-retail-ownership stocks—especially those that also have high analyst coverage, high latest absolute earnings surprises, or extreme recent positive returns. The premium is also larger…

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What Statistics Can and Cant Tell Us About Ourselves.

Harold Eddleston, a seventy-seven-year-old from Greater Manchester, was still reeling from a cancer diagnosis he had been given that week when, on a Saturday morning in February, 1998, he received the worst possible news. He would have to face the future alone: his beloved wife had died unexpectedly, from a heart attack. Eddleston’s daughter, concerned…

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Born Famous? – by Jason McIntosh

How many people are born famous? Not many, right? With a few exceptions, fame is a by-product of success. The spotlight typically only shines on people after they’ve made it. A successful company isn’t that different. Most businesses start out with a founder and an idea. They then take time to grow. Once you hear…

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One Of These Is Not The Same

This post follows on in a somewhat tangential way from my earlier posting on the notion that retail is dead and there is a recession on the horizon – the chart action of retailers seems to show a different story. But financial journalists have bever been known to let facts get in the way of…

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Curious about Our Mentor Program?

Then you need to register for Priority Notification, so you can learn more, and get a heap of free trading resources. The Trading Mentor Program is a 6-month, repeat-for-free course. Become a superb trader, across every time frame, and with every instrument. We give you our personal secrets and tricks to help you can develop a…

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Apparently retail is dead….

According to financial journalists and various others, we are staring into the abyss of a recession and things will never be good again. So here is a question, why then are almost all listed retail stocks showing strong gains for the YTD. The exception being RFG which has apparently been naughty with its franchisees. Word…

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Short-sale constraints and stock price crash risk

We examine the relation between short-sale constraints and stock price crash risk. To establish causality, we take advantage of a regulatory change from the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC)’s Regulation SHO pilot program, which temporarily lifted short-sale constraints for randomly designated stocks. Using Regulation SHO as a natural experiment setting in which to apply a…

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2020 Porsche Taycan EV Review

Befitting the Taycan’s status as a performance-oriented EV, trying to describe the acceleration is an all-you-can-eat grab bag of cliché and hyperbole. Power was enigmatically quoted as “over 600 horsepower,” with the zero-to-60-mph sprint claimed to slide comfortably under the three-second mark. In keeping with Porsche’s tradition of underrating the official figures, the one we…

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Can We Rely on Our Intuition?

“I go with my gut feelings,” says investor Judith Williams. Sure, you might think, “so do I,”— if the choice is between chocolate and vanilla ice cream. But Williams is dealing with real money in the five and six figures. Williams is one of the lions on the program The Lions’ Den, a German television show akin…

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Neuroscience Says Your Body and Mind Get Stronger When You Focus on This 1 Thing

Most people realize that the mind and body are connected into a feedback loop. “A healthy mind in a healthy body” is why psychologists and physicians alike recommend sensible eating and regular exercise. Neuroscientists, however, recommend a different approach. Because they know that body-centric lifestyle changes (like diet and exercise) are difficult to maintain, they recommend starting…

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