LATEST BLOGS

Investor Inattention During FIFA World Cup Matches

An odd little paper that someone obviously got a grant for. The Pitch Rather than the Pit: Investor Inattention During FIFA World Cup Matches At the 2010 FIFA World Cup in South Africa, many soccer matches were played during stock market trading hours, providing us with a natural experiment to analyze fluctuations in investor attention.…

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US Market Relative Performance

I snagged the following three graphs from Google finance. Each chart looks at the relative performance of the Dow (DJI), the NASDAQ (IXIC) and the S&P500 (INX) The point that interested me was that out to six months ago this was a recovery lead by the tech heavy NASDAQ with the Dow and S&P bringing…

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Irony

I got this invite thingy for the somewhat long winded –  The 100WHF-Stanford PACS Conference: A New Era of Alpha & Altruism It is being presented by a group called 100 Women In Hedge Funds which is a professional body that aims to support women working in the financial arena. All in all a good…

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Prediction

I have written about prediction a few times in the past – the main thrust of my argument is that it is – 1. Pointless 2. Experts dont have a friggen clue This is a nice little podcast on Philip Tetlock one of the driving forces behind the pointlessness of experts philosophy. So Tetlock took…

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Dreaming

I have been pondering the psychological utility of things such as playing the lottery. I fully accept that the odds against winning are astronomical and are as follows –   Tattslotto      1 in 8,145,060 Oz Lotto         1 in 45,379,620 Powerball       1 in 54,979,155 Now balance these…

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