When you appear on podcasts one of the most commonly asked questions is what is your best investment. I understand why people ask this question but I think it is actually the wrong question to ask since very little is learned by trying to mimic someone’s past performance – a performance that may be entirely…
As last year drew to a close and Christmas loomed large on the horizon I sat down with Bushy Martin of the Get Invested podcast series to reflect on the year that was and offer my thoughts on the year to come. Click this link to be taken to the episode.
With the world seemingly continuing its ride towards total lunacy as 2021 seems to be merely 2020 the sequel, it is time for something a little different,
I have many annoyances with the way markets are presented to people and what may or may not be essential for trading success. I only know three things about trading. If it is trending up buy it, if it trending down sell it, and don’t bet the farm. Everything else is fluff. One of the…
With 2020 now in our rearview mirror, it’s time to probably remember that an arbitrary change in date will not change magically change either that state of the world or what is happening inside your head. Granted it does give people a chance to rule a bit of a line through the events of 2020…
Apparently, the yellow arrow means that the Gold/Silver ratio is going to collapse.
A young man amasses $70,000,000 in trading profits, is accused of causing one of the biggest Stock Market Crashes ever, is the subject of a major US govt investigation and a multimillion-dollar manhunt, and all from his upstairs bedroom, in his parent’s modest house, in an ordinary London suburb, without his family or friends having a…
As we finalise our predictions for 2021, it would be prudent to consider what our expectations were for 2020 and how those played out. Markets, economies and people are far too complex to foresee with any level of confidence or accuracy. Making predictions about financial markets is one of those activities that we perform in…
What is interesting about trading and investing is that its participants largely think that the things they experience are unique in some way when in reality they have simply found another mechanism for expressing all the foibles of being human (read stupid). These displays of being all too human result in traders being subject to…
Pop quiz. If someone suggested to you that you should undergo a mandatory 28-day quarantine to come and give a presentation to them in person that could be done over Zoom would you – a) Tell them to get stuffed. b) Tell them to get stuffed. c) Tell them to get stuffed. If you answered…
Recently some commodities have been on a bit of a tear as a consequence any index that tracks commodities has been showing signs of life. A day or so ago the chart below appeared on my LinkedIn feed. It is the Bloomberg Commodities Index with a trendline and an arrow is drawn on it because…
Visual Capitalist has generated a graphic on the world’s largest IPO’s – they also include this listing in tabular form which I have scrapped and dropped into Excel for readability.
Among the many previously unthinkable moments of 2020, one of the strangest occurred on April 20, when the price of crude oil fell below zero. West Texas Intermediate futures, the most popular instrument used to trade the commodity, had started the day at $18 a barrel. That was already low, but prices kept tumbling until,…
