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Its Been How Long?

Apparently hearts are a flutter in the investment world because it has supposedly been sometime since the US market had any form of meaningful decline. This has even prompted many to go around saying that the end of the world is inevitable and as usual this sort of thing piqued my curiosity. So, I thought…

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How Bitcoins Ascent Stacks Up

Despite all claims to the contrary the life cycle of the boom/bust phenomena has remained unchanged for hundreds of years. Source – Bloomberg PS:I made an interesting observation last night whilst looking at my LinkedIn profile. I consider LinkedIn to be little more than Facebook for people with a job. However, it was interesting to…

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Why Self-Compassion Beats Self-Confidence

Be more confident,” a friend once told me as we made the rounds at a swanky networking event where I felt terribly out of place. Faking confidence is easy: I pulled my shoulders back and spoke louder and with more assertiveness. Like many soft-spoken, mild-mannered people, I’ve spent a great deal of time trying to…

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Price Manipulation in the Bitcoin Ecosystem

Abstract To its proponents, the cryptocurrency Bitcoin offers the potential to disrupt payment systems and traditional currencies. It has also been subject to security breaches and wild price fluctuations. This paper identifies and analyzes the impact of suspicious trading activity on the Mt. Gox Bitcoin currency exchange, in which approximately 600,000 bitcoins (BTC) valued at $188…

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Why Would You Do That?

The previous post about bear market funds and the difficulties they have faced during the current spectacular US bull market fascinated me. My central point of interest is based around the question – why would you bother?  There are a few conflicting points that come to mind. Markets in general have strong upward bias. However,…

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A Little Pop Quiz

This is a little quiz prompted by a recent  conversation with Matt F who brought these little metrics to my attention. Below is a chart of the Dow and on it I have plotted a simple 3 ATR stop which can serve as a trend indicator. The question is – given the information above  would…

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Time To Get In Early

Just as December is the month when financial experts…..sorry dickheads make total fools of themselves by making worthless predictions for the upcoming year so January is the month where everybody bangs on about how January predicts the year. Unfortunately, it doesn’t; it is yet another zombie idea that has taken root in the financial community…

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Not Really A Surprise

The World Federation of Exchanges (yes there is such a thing) keeps a wonderful stockpile of statistics you can trawl through to your hearts content. One that stood out for me was the percentage of the markets capitalisation that was concentrated in the top 5% of stocks. I dropped this data into Excel and generated…

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