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LATEST BLOGS

Index Correlations Again

I recently posted this table of index price correlations. Its a fairly simple table that  looks at the degree to which indices follow one another in their general pattern of movement. As you would expect indices that are closely related share a very high correlation. For example the Dow and the S&P500 share a price…

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Index Correlations

For my own curiosity I decided to have a quick look at the price correlations of a handful of world indices. Those correlations that are below 0.5 I have coloured red. As expected most share a positive correlation with the only true diversification coming from the Shanghai Composite. This does pose a conundrum for index…

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Apathy As The Default Human Setting

If you are a fan of human history the impression you get of our progress over the years is a relentless march forward. We evolved on the plains of Africa as small and weak primates with very little to distinguish us from other animals. Deep time and the relentless random pressure of evolution changed that…

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Why asset bubbles are a part of the human condition

IN THESE UNCERTAIN economic times, we’d all like a guaranteed investment. Here’s one: it pays a 24-cent dividend every four weeks for 60 weeks, 15 dividends in all. Then it disappears. Unlike a bond, this security has no redemption value. It simply provides guaranteed dividends. It involves no tricky derivatives or unknown risks. And it…

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A Week To Go

With about a week to go before I deliver my prediction ( pulled out of my arse) on the direction of the market based upon January’s performance. Things are not looking too good with the Dow barely managing to hang onto its slim 0.19% gain

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Talk A Good Game

Interesting snip from the abstract of this piece – We show that investors base their decisions on perceptions of the responsible investment manager shaped by manager-written texts. Relying on a novel dataset of a European social trading platform including self-descriptions from portfolio managers, we show that a positive emotional tone of these descriptions lowers portfolio…

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