LATEST BLOGS

Bias Series Part Three – Confirmation Bias

Confirmation is an insidious little malady that afflicts everyone at some stage. Our natural desire as members of a herd is to find people who agree with our point of view. In trading this takes the extreme form of overweighting opinions that match ours and underweighting those that disagree with us. The natural tendency when…

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Truly Ordinary

I have to admit that over the past few years I have found the performance of the local market to suck big time. I am somewhat comforted by two things. I am not alone and the internet grants me access to every market in the world. If you want to know how poor the local…

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Bias Series Part Two – Gamblers Fallacy

One of the more interesting things about winter in Australia is the return of the various winter sporting codes. This is interesting because it heralds the return of the uniquely Australian obsession with provincial sports and a breathless sporting coverage that attempts to give the impression that people who kick or chase an inflated piece…

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League Table

I was going to produce a more in depth look at how various markets performed over the past year but in doing so I would merely be replicating data others had already assembled. So I took the easy way out and just snipped theirs. The table below is a familiar one from Finviz and it…

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Bias Series Part One – Belief Bias

Over the next few weeks I want to start looking at some of the bias’s that make traders stupid and to look at what can be done to overcome these issues. It is important to note at the beginning the problems with your internal language are often not related to intelligence.  In fact work by…

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