One of the things that has always amazed me about financial markets is the apparent lack of numeracy I see in many of its participants. As an example consider the table below which looks at gains made in the subsequent years by the S&P500 when it has been down 25% or worse in a given…
From the time of Aristotle through to the 1500s, the dominant model of the universe had the sun, planets, and stars orbiting around the Earth. This simple model, however, did not match what could be seen in the skies. Venus appears in the evening or morning. It never crosses the night sky as we would…
Much of the focus on the dramatic and unprecedented sell-off in gilt markets this week has been centred on the technical factors that led to an intervention from the Bank of England, potentially worth £65bn. Whilst the tribulations of the Liability Driven Investment strategies used by pension schemes are both fascinating and concerning, these periods…
Most traders jump first and then build their parachutes. They trade using intuition and tips without a firm trading plan. If there’s anything the markets have taught us over the past couple of years it’s that treating investing and trading as a business is essential. But just how do you do this? In this exciting…
To get into the Mentor Program, you need to register for Priority Notification. Make a pact with yourself now that no matter what the economy is doing, you’re determined to become an ultra-versatile trader capable of sniffing out hidden profits in the sharemarket. It’s that’s what you’re after, we can show you how to…
The market rallied early this morning for reasons nobody understands and nobody predicted. CNBC analysts confidently asserted it had something to do with the Senegalese money supply but others pointed to revised monthly figures showing a poor tuna haul off the Peruvian coast. The Dow turned down in late morning due to profit-taking—which is a…
Managing your money is obviously an important part of being a responsible adult. But how should you do that? It turns out that there’s a large gulf between the advice given by the authors of popular finance books and academic economists. In a new study titled “Popular Personal Financial Advice versus the Professors,” the Yale financial economist James…
The chart offers an interesting comparison between the Russell 2000, S&P 500, and the Dow. You can see in the past five days the broader market has outperformed the other two. The broader market which it could be argued is a better barometer of overall market health than the Dow has in the past week…
This video is a repost of one I did last year. I decided to repost it because I did a brief media piece a little while ago and the topic of volatility came up tangentially. Volatility did not come directly but it was implied that because the market had gone down that this automatically meant…
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