LATEST BLOGS

Well This Is Sad

Has the world really come to a point where adults and children need to be taught how to play…. Kids need to play; defined as unstructured, fun and imaginary. Movement play is the stepping stone to an active childhood, which defines an adult’s activity level by age eight. Creating active children is a key to…

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When Is A Benchmark Not A Benchmark

I have been reading snippets of the Productivity Commissions report into the state of superannuation in Australia and whilst my reading has so far been cursory nothing I have read so far sways me from my opinion that the best solution is to simply nationalise the entire thing and put everyone into an index based…

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The Benefits of Admitting When You Don’t Know

I  disagree with myself.” This is what a third-grade boy said in front of his math class during a discussion about even and odd numbers. He believed six was both even and odd. When one classmate presented counterevidence, he considered her point. “I didn’t think of it that way,” he said. “Thank you for bringing that up.”…

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How Income Affects the Brain

We often attribute financial problems to bad life decisions: Why didn’t that person stay in college? Why didn’t they pick a more lucrative career? Why did they have so many kids? But several recent studies suggest that having less money can actually affect thinking and memory for the worse. In the most recent of these…

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All You Need Is A Picture

Last night I had a contingent trade trigger me into a short position into Lumber. Everything looked wonderful for probably all of about 25 minutes. The good thing about trading is that such things happen – it reminds that nothing is certain and you are never as clever as you think you are.

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Wedding of the Year

I tend to agree. Being shot out of the right vagina or playing hide the sausage with the right person should not decide your status. Nor should it imply a status that puts you above everyone else.

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How heavy use of social media is linked to mental illness

According to a survey in 2017 by the Royal Society for Public Health, Britons aged 14-24 believe that Facebook, Instagram, Snapchat and Twitter have detrimental effects on their wellbeing. On average, they reported that these social networks gave them extra scope for self-expression and community-building. But they also said that the platforms exacerbated anxiety and depression, deprived…

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Mum And Dad Investors Are Snowflakes

I have been thinking about this piece I posted yesterday. The central tenet is that to admit a mistake is to undermine one’s sense of self. Thus doing so is extremely difficult for professional money managers. My thoughts have drifted to the current round of pending and proposed legal action by shareholders against various companies,…

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Why Can’t Fund Managers Admit Mistakes?

A good piece with applications at all levels of trading. “It infuriates me to be wrong, when I know I am right.” (Moliere) In a previous job, I worked for an investment consultant who employed a psychologist to assist in their fund manager research process.  I vividly recall her making a particularly astute point about…

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Bitcoin Drawdown

Since I had a look at the MaxDD for MNF yesterday I thought it would be interesting to see the same for BTC. One of the arguments put forward by BTC fetishists is that BTC would display lower volatility than other currencies or payment methods. Somehow I dont think this claim stacks up, not unless…

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