LATEST BLOGS

FX Turnover

I have in the past been asked by new traders what is the most liquid market in the world. The reason they asked was they were generally concerned that the massive size of their account (always less than 100k) was too big for any market other than the most liquid. So to put them at…

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I Love a Good Chart

This is from Chart of the Day who occasionally produce some interesting charts – although most of the time they are obscure things such as measuring GDP in gherkins The chart below is the  long term inflation adjusted median price of US housing. Not only did housing prices increase at a rapid rate from 1991…

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Taleb

A bit of a chat with Nassim Taleb – the author of Fooled by Randomness and Black Swans. I have never really been one of Talebs fans since Fooled by Randomness seemed to be a long series of self justifications as to why he couldn’t trade. The central undercurrent of the book seemed to be…

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Taleb

A bit of a chat with Nassim Taleb – the author of Fooled by Randomness and Black Swans. I have never really been one of Talebs fans since Fooled by Randomness seemed to be a long series of self justifications as to why he couldn’t trade. The central undercurrent of the book seemed to be…

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That Equation Made Me Do It

I have written before about how those with the moral of a pox ridden alley cat had tried to blame the Black and Scholes equation for the GFC This very clever little graphic puts that notion to bed. Source – Quant

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For Geeks Only

I noticed this in the footnotes of this article – The Crisis of Big Science In his recent book, The Infinity Puzzle (Basic Books, 2011), Frank Close points out that a mistake of mine was in part responsible for the term “Higgs boson.” In my 1967 paper on the unification of weak and electromagnetic forces, I…

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Predicting the Improbable

Excellent paper by VoxEU.org on behaviour around what are considered improbable events. Predicting the improbable Claus Bjørn Jørgensen Sigrid Suetens Jean-Robert Tyran 22 April 2011 Japan’s trio of tsunami, earthquake, and nuclear disaster has left the world stunned. As this column points out, even the experts were shocked. But while these events were highly unlikely,…

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How do you spell BUBBLE

Anyone who has been to Vancouver will attest to the fact that it is a magnificent city – one of the few places where you can go sailing in the morning and skiing in the afternoon. In recent years it has been in the grip of a ferocious property bubble that puts the ones seen…

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Gold

The markets section of the WSJ is currently running a piece titled the  World is Bitten by the Gold Bug. “Gold continued its upward march in a time of global financial tumult, closing above $1,500 an ounce Thursday for the first time as investors seek safe haven in the metal. In a remarkable performance for…

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