LATEST BLOGS

You Cant Keep A Good Bubble Down.

Jeremy He started pouring his savings into commodities last month after losing money in China’s stock rout and deciding that returns from his WMPs were too low. The 25-year-old employee at a multinational trade company in Shanghai set up a joint account with his friend to trade futures on rebar, coal and cotton, making as…

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The Markets Have Gone Mad – Gold Coast, May 29

Due to an amusing website glitch, I will be extending the Early Bird Special Offer by 1-day for our Markets Gone Mad Gold Coast function. Almost every day, I get emails from traders, wanting to know which markets to trade at the moment. They want to know how to raid the markets… raid the profits…

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A Long Term View

It has been some time since I took a really long term view of a market. It tends not to be part of my trading vernacular simply because of the time frames I trade, to my way of thinking data drifts off into the irrelevant beyond a certain point. However, as a student of the…

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The Devils Wager

The Devil looks you in the eyes and offers you a bet. Pick a number and if you successfully guess the total he’ll roll on two dice you get to keep your soul. If any other number comes up, you go to burn in eternal hellfire. You call “7” and the Devil rolls the dice.…

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They’re The Greatest Cover Band In History….

In a cramped suburban Philadelphia office piled high with file folders and documents, Francis Malofiy grabs a steel-stringed acoustic guitar from the corner and places it on his knee. As the 38-year-old lawyer starts to play, the first few notes sound unmistakably like those in Stairway to Heaven. Or do they? Malofiy claims Led Zeppelin filched the iconic arpeggio from a long-forgotten band named Spirit.…

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Take Me Out To The Ball Park

The Americans have at the centre of their sporting culture three of the most boring games ever invented. A game of gridiron can last some three hours but only around 12 minutes of that is actual playing time, the rest is commercials and replays of the paltry 12 minutes of playing time. Basketball consists of…

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Fun With Margin

Its a slow day for me so when I am bored I tend to begin to generate dodgy charts and tables in excel. I thought I would have a look at the level of margin on the NYSE. Margin is thought to be a barometer of market health both in terms of the perceived willingness…

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Numeracy and Wealth

Abstract Numeracy is defined as the ability to understand and use numerical information. We examined the relationship between numeracy and wealth using a cross-sectional and a longitudinal study. For a sample of approximately 1000 Dutch adults, we found a statistically significant correlation between numeracy and wealth, even after controlling for differences in education, risk preferences,…

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What You See

As part of a recent discussion in the Mentor Program we looked at the nature of returns and how they can be distributed in the real world which is very different to how you want them to be distributed in your head. For the conversation I posted the graph below which is a series of…

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