LATEST BLOGS

Rich Managers, Poor Clients

From The Economist…… The mediocrity of the hedgies’ recent performance is in part the result of the industry’s massive growth. Whereas in the past it was plausible that hotshots like George Soros could spot market anomalies, several thousand managers in an industry with $2 trillion of assets under management are very unlikely all to be…

Read more

Relative Performance

Whilst I believe that the correlation indices has increased over time and the correlation of instruments has been shown to increase in times of stress their returns correlations can be a little different. Note the performance particularly of the DAX and the Hang Seng. The charts for some of these may have the same outward…

Read more

One Of These Things Is Just Like The Other

Well…….its the 21/12/12 and I am still here. Although I havent checked to see if I am here by myself yet…. In the spirit of such things I give you two sets of predictions. 1. Those dickhead Mayans who couldnt even foresee the coming of the Spanish – bit of bad luck there 2. A…

Read more

Dow – Update

4 Comments

Price is still meandering around the initial fail point. One of the mistakes I see traders make is that they see a chart like the one below and instantly drop into confirmation bias mode simply because price looks as if it might be moving higher. Current price action doesn’t really confirm whether this trade is…

Read more

Dow

1 Comment

So first the disclaimer – I am actually long the Dow. As per the chart below my system generated a signal where the purple arrow is an I entered on a contingent order a little higher than that. This all occurred whilst I was asleep a few days ago. When the system generated the signal…

Read more

John Henry Shuts Up Shop

It was recently announced that one of the pioneers of managed futures John W Henry was shutting up shop after several difficult years in which his funds under management shrank from $2.5 billion in 2006 to around a $100 million. This made me wonder two things. Firstly, is there a shelf life to money managers.?…

Read more

The Myth of American Meritocracy

Lately I have had a bit of waiting time and I was able to read this article in full. Of the entire piece I found the passage below the most disturbing. As a history buff I am familiar with such behaviour in the old Soviet Union and Germany in the 1930’s where admission to schools…

Read more

We Are Alive

1 Comment

Rock tours generally have a theme: a band’s coltish arrival, a new style or look, a reunion, a new set of songs, a political moment. Springsteen was salting the show with the political material from “Wrecking Ball,” but the most vivid theme on this tour was to be time passing, age, death, and, if Springsteen…

Read more