The Tide Turns

FOR decades looking after other people’s money has been a lucrative business. Profit margins in the asset-management industry were 39% in 2014, according to BCG, a consultancy, compared with 8% in consumer goods and 20% in pharmaceuticals. The industry’s global profits in 2014 were an estimated $102 billion, allowing firms to pay those picking stocks…

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Valeant Pharmaceuticals

The ongoing saga of Valeant and its capacity to make dickheads out of apparently the hedge fund industries best and brightest intrigues me because it displays the power of the narrative over rational decision making. Consider that hedge fund managers are the highest paid individuals in the world and for their multi billion dollar salaries…

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Hedge fund closures return to crisis highs

Here is my idea for running a hedge fund – open the fund- take everyone’s money – buy an index ETF and then bugger off. I will be hailed a genius because I will trounce 99.9% of all other hedge fund managers. More hedge funds closed their doors in 2015 than at any time since…

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Be Careful What You Wish For

There is an old saying that goes along the lines of be careful what you wish for, it might come true. From my recent conversations with traders it seems as if this philosophy has started to creep into their psych. The local market seems to have stabilized and commodity prices seem to be moving in…

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On the reception and detection of pseudo-profound bullshit

Although bullshit is common in everyday life and has attracted attention from philosophers, its reception (critical or ingenuous) has not, to our knowledge, been subject to empirical investigation. Here we focus on pseudo-profound bullshit, which consists of seemingly impressive assertions that are presented as true and meaningful but are actually vacuous. We presented participants with…

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The Flaw Of Averages

In the late 1940s, the United States air force had a serious problem: its pilots could not keep control of their planes. Although this was the dawn of jet-powered aviation and the planes were faster and more complicated to fly, the problems were so frequent and involved so many different aircraft that the air force…

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Explaining Rage

 All of us have snapped at some point. A stranger cuts in line or a distracted driver nearly hits us and we lose our cool in a sudden fit of rage. As mass shootings continue to make headlines, it is becoming increasingly important to understand the brain circuits that underlie these flashes of emotion. R.…

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There’s Ya Problem

I was having a catch-up with my good mate and uber cool pad holder Jarrod yesterday. Our conversations tend to range far and wide, yesterday was everything from was The Odyssey by Homer  which we agreed was the first modern novel to whether the film clip for Taylor Swifts Blank Space is actually a reflective exploration…

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