US Dollar Index and The Idiocy of Some Sites

Quite rightly much of the chatter regarding currencies this week has centred around the goings on in crypto clown land. In the real world away from the land of magic beans and disappearing accounts The US Dollar Index has been breaking down. It looks as if at least in the short term that the exceptional…

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Where Will The Market Go Next?

No idea – now that we have gotten that out of the way it is interesting to look at two competing narratives that have arisen as a result of last night’s action on U.S. markets. The first interpretation is given by the table below which looks at the performance of the S&P 500 post any…

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The Mentor Program is Officially Open

  When we opened up for booking for the Mentor Program, there was a scramble. A flurry. A crazed run at the gate as people came on board. The Mentor Program is a 6-month, repeat-for-free, comprehensive training course for traders of all levels – and our results speak for themselves. You are going to want…

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Bitcoin Next Stop 12k ?

The interesting feature of highly speculative issues such as BTC is that in a very short space of time you were able to observe a large range of maladaptive trader behaviours. I can guarantee that when I initially posted my original chart showing that BTC was in congestion but was also in a volatility squeeze…

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Process and Outcome

Success in any endeavour relies upon a triad of components process measurement and outcome. Traders, as a rule, have a tendency to focus on the outcome not the process this is understandable because the process is boring whereas the outcome enables us to daydream about a different future. This daydream is obviously more attractive and…

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Market Wrap Week Ending 04/11/22

Markets look forward not backward whereas traders look backward and not forward. This paradox means that whilst markets are thinking about next year traders are obsessing about last Wednesday’s sharp rate rise by the Fed. This paradox means that traders are often left behind because their narrative is one of worry and concern whereas the…

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The Mentor Program is Opening for Bookings Next Week

  THERE ARE ONLY a few days to go before we open up for booking for the Mentor Program. The Mentor Program is a 6-month, repeat-for-free, comprehensive training course for traders of all levels. The Mentor Program kicks off in February, but we open for bookings on Thursday 10th November. To get access, you need…

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The Power of Not Having a View

If you work in the investment industry then you must have a view. Always. About everything. When will inflation peak? Will the Fed pivot? How will Japanese equities fare over the next six months? Is Amazon expensive? Does this fund manager have skill? If we don’t have an opinion then we either lack knowledge or…

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Bitcoin Bust or What?

In my previous market wrap, I posted a chart similar to the one below highlighting the current action in Bitcoin. Given that I find compression patterns with declining volatility interesting it’s worth spending a little bit more time analysing what exactly is happening with price at present. However all these things have to be viewed…

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