Last week, I wrote this piece – Great Stocks, Bad Entries. The idea was to look at whether delayed entry timing had a material effect on returns. I found that entering 40 trading days after the original breakout still produced strong 12-month returns. The conclusion was nuanced yet clear: the quality of the stock dominated that of…
One of the mantras I run in my head is a simple question – have I added value somewhere today?” It doesn’t have to be anything earth shattering. Even small gestures count. When I commit something to public view, I try as much as possible to make it a positive contribution – unfortunately, at times…
The Anatomy of a Blown Account How does a trading account actually blow up? The obvious answer is that it loses money, but the nuance is in the process of that erosion. It is rarely a single catastrophic “black swan” event that destroys a trader. Instead, it is a steady, relentless “belting” of the equity…
Technical analysis has long treated entry precision as sacred. Traders spend careers searching for the perfect breakout, the ideal pullback, the exact moment of volatility contraction. But what if the entire premise is wrong — and traders have been optimising the wrong variable all along? The Core Assumption It has always been assumed that a…
If there were a primary mechanical task that traders undertake to be profitable, it would be seeking an edge. They study indicators, optimise position sizing, experiment with entries, and spend endless hours refining their systems. Yet one of the most powerful upgrades costs nothing. It is a belief. We are not talking about mindless motivational…
The Great Crash of 1929 has faded into history, but financial journalist and author Andrew Ross Sorkin argues it holds vital lessons for today. Andrew came into the studio in London to discuss what we can understand about the crash in numbers, from ticker-tape running hours behind plunging stock prices to crucial metrics that sound…
In this episode, I speak with award-winning author and AI strategist Tracy Sheen about how to navigate the fast-moving world of artificial intelligence without losing your head (or your trading edge). Tracy makes complex tech feel human, accessible, and surprisingly practical. We dive into how much AI literacy traders really need, why some people resist…
When I generated this piece on Monday, I left something important out. I looked only at absolute numbers, not at the broader context in which the move occurred. My simple question was What happens after a large down day? While useful, this framing treats all declines as identical events and ignores the broader environment within…
With a little more time on my hands this afternoon, I ran the same analysis I did for the S&P 500 on the NASDAQ 100, looking at precedents for its Friday session’s decline. I then it dropped it all into an infographic.
The most recent collapse in crypto has shown the market’s inherent fragility and its inability to absorb size when it comes to selling. In part, this comes down to the fact that a large percentage of crypto trades are fake or sham trades – something that has been noted for a while. The impact of…
It is intriguing that the first reaction to any market move that does not reinforce the existing group recency bias is to panic. This is the somewhat breathless reaction from both the financial press and the interwebs to Friday’s slippage on Wall St. As a refresher, here are the closing figures for Friday’s session. Not…
From Puru Saxena on X (Twitter) comes this somewhat sobering table about chasing hot IPO’s.
It makes perfect sense now…. View this post on Instagram A post shared by Joe Fenti (@fentifriedchicken)
It is said that there are only two certainties in life – death and taxes. To this, we can add governments being total f$5ckheads. I have been trying to get my head around some of the raft of changes the government introduced in the budget. This is my best attempt to view them from a…
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