Why Would You Do That?

The previous post about bear market funds and the difficulties they have faced during the current spectacular US bull market fascinated me. My central point of interest is based around the question – why would you bother?  There are a few conflicting points that come to mind. Markets in general have strong upward bias. However,…

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A Little Pop Quiz

This is a little quiz prompted by a recent  conversation with Matt F who brought these little metrics to my attention. Below is a chart of the Dow and on it I have plotted a simple 3 ATR stop which can serve as a trend indicator. The question is – given the information above  would…

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Time To Get In Early

Just as December is the month when financial experts…..sorry dickheads make total fools of themselves by making worthless predictions for the upcoming year so January is the month where everybody bangs on about how January predicts the year. Unfortunately, it doesn’t; it is yet another zombie idea that has taken root in the financial community…

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Not Really A Surprise

The World Federation of Exchanges (yes there is such a thing) keeps a wonderful stockpile of statistics you can trawl through to your hearts content. One that stood out for me was the percentage of the markets capitalisation that was concentrated in the top 5% of stocks. I dropped this data into Excel and generated…

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A Quote Not To Live By

I heard this one the other day. “If you want to know what God thinks of money, just look at the people he gave it to.” – Dorothy Parker I actually have some more to say about this at a later stage but unfortunately most have been subconsciously inoculated by this sort of thing. And…

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The 99 best things that happened in 2017

An incredible year for global health 1. This year, the World Health Organisation unveiled a new vaccine that’s cheap and effective enough to end cholera, one of humanity’s greatest ever killers. New York Times 2. Cancer deaths have dropped by 25% in the United States since 1991, saving more than 2 million lives. Breast cancer deaths have fallen…

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Superannuation RipOff

According to the media and no doubt fuelled by press releases from the industry itself, superannuation funds are run by geniuses.We know this because they have been trumpeting the fact that they have a a not so crappy year. Note, they have not had a brilliant year where the majority of funds out performed the…

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Living In The Past

The old aphorism of a picture paints a thousand words is like most sayings chronically overused but sometimes a simple graphic comes along that explains the future with remarkable clarity. The following chart is one such image. Source – Medium The fall in both jobs and oil rigs in 2015 was a function of the…

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122 Years of Dow Returns

The following graphic looks at 122 years of Dow Returns. You can find the original here at Albert Bridge Capital. Initially it looks like another infographic that looks pretty but doesn’t say much. However, there are are some interesting points to be drawn from spending a bit of time simply looking at the data. The…

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