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Is these idiots who keep using the phrase quantum leap as if you are trying to traverse some enormous intergalatic gulf. For those of a non scientific bent a quantum state is the smallest discrete quantity of a physical property that can be involved in an interaction. Its friggen small – so if you have…
Wonder whether anyone has given Larry Page a call to ask if that offer of $6 billion is still on the table. There are times when opportunity knocks and some people are stupid enough to say f$%k off I’m busy not paying attention…….
One of the most misunderstood issues in trading is the notion of diversification. I can distil the standard mantra of how the sell side of the industry defines diversification into – so long as your stocks have different names you are diversified. So no need to worry. Unfortunately, this is not true. In small closed…
Markets are always interesting – even when they are not doing anything they are interesting. The thing that interests me most about this is that the Dow did not go down, although one possible interpretation of this could be that it is simply a relief rally. That is we are relieved that we didn’t wake…
Not mine….someone else’s. The chart below dropped into one of my junk email accounts. This is a chart of the S&P500 PE ratio – I can see what people are attempting to do when they construct such charts. My interpretation is that they are looking for signs of mania – that is a distortion in…
This piece was on my weekend reading list and it contains the following surprising stat which I was completely unaware of. There’s frequent evidence for that in economic data, and in the country’s destiny to become ever-smaller, doomed by demographics that will shrink the population from about 127 million today to 47 million in 2100, according to…
As we near the end of the magic month….according to some. I thought it might be interesting to see whether October is all its cracked up to be. Apparently it isn’t, below are the average monthly returns generated using as much data as I could get. Data trumps bullshit once again….
One of the markets I trade is the S&P 500 which has been in recovery mode since 2009. However, the action this week seems to have put the wind up a few people – the merest mention of a market going down in October seems to send everyone running for the shelters. Channel breaks are…
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