You Think They Would Have Thought Of That

A few weeks ago LB and I had to trot into town for the day for a meeting and since I dont do public transport for reasons that should be obvious to anyone who has caught public transport I decided to drive and park. Since I am little bit compulsive in my planning I looked…

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The Gambler Who Cracked the Horse-Racing Code

Across the road from Happy Valley, 27 floors up, two Americans sat in a plush office, ignoring a live feed of the action that played mutely on a TV screen. The only sound was the hum of a dozen computers. Bill Benter and an associate named Paul Coladonato had their eyes fixed on a bank…

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Inside the World’s Most Elite (and Secret) Traders’ Club

In an industry where power and influence are measured in dollars and cents, this may be the most exclusive club in finance: The price of admission is at least $25 million. It has no name and no board of directors but has a roster drawn from the world’s wealthiest and most successful traders. Members essentially become…

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Ray Dalio – Principles Part Two

I had made an exhaustive study of recessions so that I could form a timeless picture of an archetypal recession and then understand the difference among them. I did that for all economic and market movements and was inclined to do it for just about everything, because it helps me understand how things work. One…

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Hedge Fund Managers With Psychopathic Tendencies Make for Worse Investors

Ya reckon….yet another thing that probably got a grant when one wasn’t actually needed. Some things belong in the no shit Sherlock file…. Abstract It is widely assumed that psychopathic personality traits promote success in high-powered, competitive contexts such as financial investment. By contrast, empirical studies find that psychopathic leaders can be charming and persuasive,…

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Louise’s Love Affair

The year was 1993. I was in a full blown tantrum. My broker was copping the brunt of my frustration. “You’re getting rich from me paying you brokerage, and I’m not making any money at all. Unless you can introduce me to someone making bucket-loads of money as a trader, I’m going to quit” I…

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Off With Their Heads

I came across this chart the other day – it shows the collapse in the income of the bottom 50% of the population versus the gain of the top 1%. I am not certain who actually thinks this sort of thing is sustainable.

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Long Term Wealth Creation

I am currently in the process of adding the finishing touches to our upcoming seminar series and in doing so I was looking at the notion of long term wealth creation and why it is so hard for traders to simply sit still and not doing anything when the market is running in their favour.…

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Ray Dalio – Principles Part 1

I am currently making my way through Ray Dalio’s collection of thoughts and it is proving to be an interesting read. Dalio is an interesting individual with an interesting take on life – this obviously explains in part why his hedge fund Bridgewater has a somewhat interesting reputation for having an unusual corporate culture. What…

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What Breaking the 4-Minute Mile Taught Us

The sad news of the passing of Roger Bannister, the first human being to run a four-minute mile, got me thinking about his legacy — not just as one of the great athletes of the past century, but as an innovator, a change agent, and an icon of success. As it turns out, when he broke…

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Acceptable losses: the debatable origins of loss aversion

It is often claimed that negative events carry a larger weight than positive events. Loss aversion is the manifestation of this argument in monetary outcomes. In this review, we examine early studies of the utility function of gains and losses, and in particular the original evidence for loss aversion reported by Kahneman and Tversky (Econometrica …

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