I Have A Story And I am Sticking To It

I came across this piece this morning. It claims that traders are taking up huge short sale positions in Tesla and they are paying a hefty penny in fees for the privilege of doing so. There are a few points in this that interested me. Whenever a financial journalist claims something is happening it is…

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The Pounds Long Decline

I am doing a Market Wrap for Talking Trading which I will post a link to ASAP. In looking at the current state of markets I came across the following chart from the WSJ highlighting the long decline in the GBP. The sun has well and truly set on the Empire, it just seems as…

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I was trolling through PubMed the other day searching for a particular paper when I got distracted as I am want to do. The internet is a wonderful thing for getting lost looking at various papers. Back in the day this sort of distracted quest was impossible simply because you would have to spend hours…

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Like a gothic horror story, my tale begins on a dark and stormy December night in Manhattan. My friend “J” had graciously offered to drop me off after the dinner party we’d both attended. As his chauffeur took us across town via a circuitous route, our conversation drifted intermittently. During the lulls my thoughts turned…

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A Smack From Uncle Warren

OMAHA, Neb.–(BUSINESS WIRE)–Answering a question last night about his $916 million income tax loss carryforward in 1995, Donald Trump stated that “Warren Buffett took a massive deduction.” Mr. Trump says he knows more about taxes than any other human. He has not seen my income tax returns. But I am happy to give him the…

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This Wont End Well

I am never surprised when I read of the investment decisions made by various fund managers. However, I was a little agog at finding out that AustralianSuper the nations largest superannuation fund has a 3.2% stake in Tesla. It is the only one of AustralianSupers top 20 investments to have not shown a profit. This should…

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On Change

Now that the Bogan 1000 has been run at Bathurst for another year I note that there was much weeping and wailing at the imminent demise of Ford which is soon to be followed by the end of locally produced Holden’s. This gnashing of teeth was echoed by the car magazines I subscribe to which…

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Where Nobel winners get their start

There are many ways to rank universities, but one that’s rarely considered is how many of their graduates make extraordinary contributions to society. A new analysis does just that, ranking institutions by the proportion of their undergraduates that go on to win a Nobel prize. Two schools dominate the rankings: École Normale Supérieure (ENS) in…

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The Difference Between Rationality and Intelligence

ARE you intelligent — or rational? The question may sound redundant, but in recent years researchers have demonstrated just how distinct those two cognitive attributes actually are. It all started in the early 1970s, when the psychologists Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky conducted an influential series of experiments showing that all of us, even highly…

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GBP Flash Crash

The most interesting thing to happen in markets for sometime was the GBP flash crash that occurred last week. I only caught the tail end of the crash as I saw some of my GBP puts leap ten fold in value and then settle back down. Which was followed by me going WTF? was that…

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Position Sizing As A Source Of Alpha

In trading we have a concept known as alpha – that is the measure of skill we bring to the investment process as measured by comparison to a given benchmark. Traditionally we think of generating alpha via our instrument selection or timing. The aim of being a trend follower or momentum trader is to buy…

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