LATEST BLOGS

Why you are anxious all the time

Anxiety is our fundamental state for well-founded reasons: – Because we are intensely vulnerable physical beings, a complicated network of fragile organs all biding their time before eventually letting us down catastrophically at a moment of their own choosing. – Because we have insufficient information upon which to make most major life decisions: we are…

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Market Volatility

I was doing the Market Wrap yesterday for Talking Trading and in my usual look at markets I noticed that the arse had effectively fallen out of volatility in the markets I was looking at. I have dropped in a chart below which shows the 30 day HV of a variety of instruments, I have…

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More Evidence That Longevity Depends on Your State of Mind

Defining a Sense of Purpose For the study, Carleton University’s Patrick Hill, along with Nicholas Turiano from the University of Rochester Medical Centre in New York, Hill analyzed the lives of more than 7,000 U.S. adults aged 20 to 75 years over a period of 14 years. They found that the people who died during…

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RIP Doc Neeson

I first saw Doc Neeson and The Angels more years ago than I care to remember in a shitbox venue that has now been consigned to history. He remains the most dynamic front man I have seen. The 70’s had been a decade when I had to wander along courtesy of a succession of girlfriends…

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An astonishing record – of complete failure

In the 2001 issue of the International Journal of Forecasting, an economist from the International Monetary Fund, Prakash Loungani, published a survey of the accuracy of economic forecasts throughout the 1990s. He reached two conclusions. The first was that forecasts are all much the same. There was little to choose between those produced by the…

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Only 8 left at this price

Your Trading Sucks! WELL, MAYBE NOT completely. But if you feel like there is something holding you back in the markets, that something may be you! There isn’t a profitable trader who hasn’t struggled with their own mindset. Click here to see who Louise Bedford has teamed up with to bring you the solutions you’re…

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The Washington Ballet’s hardest dance moves

Many many years ago when I was heavily involved in the martial arts (think two training sessions a day punctuated by afternoon naps in the uni library) I used to go out with a girl who was at the Victoria Collage of the Arts as a dance student. Occasionally I would go and stretch with…

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Barclays Manipulated Gold as Soon as It Stopped Manipulating Libor

And still no one is in prison…. If you were writing a paranoidfantasyof gold price manipulation you’d be hard pressed to come up with something more on the nose than the U.K. Financial Conduct Authority’s order against Barclays. It has everything; it is the benchmark of manipulation by which all future manipulation will be measured. Well, this…

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Vix Again

I came across this chart over the weekend. It looks at the volatility of stock, bond and currencies markets. The article that accompanies it falls into a trap I have commented on before namely, that volatility and changes in volatility are predictive. My view is that they are post-dictive – that is they react after…

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