If this isn’t the definition of irony I don’t know what is….. In 2012, Shu, Mazar, Gino, Ariely, and Bazerman published a three-study paper in PNAS (.htm) reporting that dishonesty can be reduced by asking people to sign a statement of honest intent before providing information (i.e., at the top of a document) rather than after providing information (i.e.,…
I came across this fabulous old chart that looked at the relationship between blast furnace activity and the US stock market from 1892 to 1924. Macro analysis used to have a bit of a lag.
About this time last summer, a lot of us clicked on Netflix’s Eurovision Song Contest: The Story of Fire Saga because, well, we were a lot of weeks into a stay-at-home order and Will Ferrell’s blond wig and Dan Stevens’ bare chest seemed like decent enough distractions. The flick takes place—and was mostly filmed—in Húsavík, a 2,300 person town…
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There is a line among the fragments of the Greek poet Archilochus which says: “The fox knows many things, but the hedgehog knows one big thing.” More here – American Consequences. Intriguingly most traders would like to be a variation of a fox since the belief is that the more you know the better you…
You just got off the phone with one of your most important clients. The game-changing deal you were trying to close is off. They’re not interested. You’ve just pitched 10 potential investors. They all say they’re “interested” but it’s been two weeks. You refresh your inbox hourly, and yet still no word. How do you…
There are many ways to get broad exposure to a market – the route most select is via an ETF that represents the local market. Generally, this is the only mechanism available to investors/traders. However, in Australia, we have a somewhat interesting condition whereby you can actually invest in the exchange. After demutualisation many years…
Traders are often caught in a bind – if the stock they own is going down they feel like they have too many. If the stock they own is going up naturally they feel as if they should have bought more. In the latter case, this generally occurs with a liberal dose of hindsight bias…
The number of stocks above their 200 period MA continue to drop away for both these indices.
When we talk about psychology, we refer to developing ourselves. When we talk about spirituality, we refer to transcending our selves. Most of us have entertained thoughts and feelings that there must be more to life than daily routines at home and work. Such reflections are at the heart of the world’s greatest religious and…
Prof Ross Tucker is one of my go to sources for anything sensible within the world of sports science. He can also be found at The Real Science of Sport Podcast In this video, he looks at the mental health of athletes and it has surprising parallels to the mental health of traders.
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