LATEST BLOGS

Really………WTF Is The Issue?

I have been reading some of the commentary about this particular interview with so called trader Alessio Rastani. Much has been said about the veracity of this interview whether it was legitimate or a well crafted hoax. Irrespective of any of this the commentary around it has been somewhat hysterical and completely misses the point. The…

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The Death Of Equities

From the WSJ – …across the financial markets, a sea change is taking place. Investors are abandoning the time-tested “stocks for the long run” optimism that dominated since the late 1980s. Instead, there is a widening belief that the mess left behind by the housing bubble and financial crisis will be a morass to contend…

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The Death Of Equities

From the WSJ – …across the financial markets, a sea change is taking place. Investors are abandoning the time-tested “stocks for the long run” optimism that dominated since the late 1980s. Instead, there is a widening belief that the mess left behind by the housing bubble and financial crisis will be a morass to contend…

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HFT – A Bit More Background

I must admit my view of HFT has ranged from ambivalence – its simply technology moving on to mild annoyance at what looks like a sophisticated of front running that brokers have been practising since time began. To try and get a better handle on what the impact of HFT is I revisted this transcript…

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HFT – A Bit More Background

I must admit my view of HFT has ranged from ambivalence – its simply technology moving on to mild annoyance at what looks like a sophisticated of front running that brokers have been practising since time began. To try and get a better handle on what the impact of HFT is I revisted this transcript…

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VIX

I haven’t looked at the VIX in a little while. Below is a chart of the VIX with the Dow overlaid in red so you can see the relationship between extremes of fear and the market wetting itself. The only comment I can make about this is that “fear” seems still to be historically high.

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Why Do This?

In the past I have written about prediction and the fact that we are absolutely crap at predicting the future. Despite this and despite the ease with which people are held to account for their predictions we still get this sort of stuff. This graphic tracks the predictions about the price of oil made by…

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Why Do This?

In the past I have written about prediction and the fact that we are absolutely crap at predicting the future. Despite this and despite the ease with which people are held to account for their predictions we still get this sort of stuff.         This graphic tracks the predictions about the price…

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