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LATEST BLOGS

Information And Inadequacy

I have snipped the two quotes from the always interesting Lefsetz Letter which is ostensibly about the music industry but is actually about so much more. INFORMATION OVERLOAD The twentieth century was all about scarcity, making it to the top and then dominating. Today there’s so much information that you feel inadequate. It’s an endless buffet…

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Dow

I thought I might take a bit of a longer look at the events of last week and see what they might mean; if anything. One of the interesting things about markets is the presence of perma- bears – that is traders/pundits/general idiots who no matter what the market condition are constantly calling for the…

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AIA Conference

I have just returned from the AIA Conference – the old buggers put on a reasonably good show. Although, it is one of those events that without the energy of the coordinator Donna Meadows I don’t think it would fly nearly as well. The theme of the conference was Outcome Oriented Strategies for individuals Investors.…

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Stop Worrying About the Next Market Crash

How should you act in the face of such unpredictability? First, don’t listen to doomsayers who are convinced financial calamities are imminent. They don’t know. (This is a powerful piece of advice that is seldom adhered to if my recent trip to the AIA Conference is anything to go by) Second, since avalanches are infrequent,…

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Hedge Funds Run By Women

This tallies with work down by Brad Barber and Terrance Odean on the relative returns of male and female investors, But the benefits of investing in female-led financial endeavors go even further than the Journal has it: Hedge funds run by women tend to outperform other hedge funds. A report put out in early 2013…

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Gold Versus Shares…..Who Cares?

Recently on the Google box there has been a debate as to whether gold is either a better investment than equities or  is in fact actually a hedge against inflation. This debate is interesting because of some of the logical fallacies both sides make in trying to justify their arguments. If you ask the simple…

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Dow Jones

It looks as if at least for the interim the fun might be over – as you would expect I was booted out of my long Dow positions overnight.   As can be seen from the above chart pullbacks in extended trends are the norm and the psychology of markets is such that they can…

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FX Market Volume

One of the issues currently bedevilling FX markets is the combination of low volatility and steady interest rates – these in concert add up to a profoundly dull market where the majority of major pairs are going sideways. Interestingly, it is also have an affect on turnover as can be seen in the chart below.…

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Brain, Interrupted

We decided to investigate further, and asked Alessandro Acquisti, a professor of information technology, and the psychologist Eyal Peer at Carnegie Mellon to design an experiment to measure the brain power lost when someone is interrupted. To simulate the pull of an expected cellphone call or e-mail, we had subjects sit in a lab and…

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7 Habits Of People With Remarkable Mental Toughness

First the definition: “The ability to work hard and respond resiliently to failure and adversity; the inner quality that enables individuals to work hard and stick to their long-term passions and goals.” Now the word: Grit. The definition of grit almost perfectly describes qualities every successful person possesses, because mental toughness builds the foundations for…

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