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LATEST BLOGS

Truly Ordinary

I have to admit that over the past few years I have found the performance of the local market to suck big time. I am somewhat comforted by two things. I am not alone and the internet grants me access to every market in the world. If you want to know how poor the local…

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Bias Series Part Two – Gamblers Fallacy

One of the more interesting things about winter in Australia is the return of the various winter sporting codes. This is interesting because it heralds the return of the uniquely Australian obsession with provincial sports and a breathless sporting coverage that attempts to give the impression that people who kick or chase an inflated piece…

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League Table

I was going to produce a more in depth look at how various markets performed over the past year but in doing so I would merely be replicating data others had already assembled. So I took the easy way out and just snipped theirs. The table below is a familiar one from Finviz and it…

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Why Have I Not Heard More About This Bloke?

I first heard of Professor Terry Speed not through our local media which is obsessed with provincial sport stars and bogans but rather through the BBC podcast More or Less which I consider to be compulsory listening. So doing a bit of digging I came across the following video.   If you want a quick…

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Bias Series Part One – Belief Bias

Over the next few weeks I want to start looking at some of the bias’s that make traders stupid and to look at what can be done to overcome these issues. It is important to note at the beginning the problems with your internal language are often not related to intelligence.  In fact work by…

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New Year – New Me……Bullshit

 We are only a few hours away from the usual rush of New Year – New Me bullshit that seems to percolate to the surface at this time of the year. This may seem like a somewhat grumpy thing to say during the festive season. Surely the beginning of a New Year is something to…

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