Bubble, Bubble….

There is much talk around the google box that the current move in markets is a sign of an investment bubble. I am not so convinced – the moment markets actually go up people start screaming bubble followed by here comes the crash. Such cries are merely the emotional swings of hormonal market commentators. However,…

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How To Blow $9 Billion

AS WITH MANY OF AMERICA’S GREAT FORTUNES, the Stroh family’s story starts with an immigrant: Bernhard Stroh, who arrived in Detroit from Germany in 1850 with $150 and a coveted family recipe for beer. He sold his brews door-to-door in a wheelbarrow. By 1890 his sons, Julius and Bernhard Jr., were shipping beer around the Great…

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The Aggregation of Marginal Gains

I came across this chart in this article about how British cycling coach Dave Brailsford turned British cycling into a world powerhouse dominating the last Olympics and producing the last two Tour De France winners. Brailsford set about his task but generating tiny almost imperceptible gains over  long period of time . The chart below gives…

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Lefsetz: The Tiers

This is from the wonderful Lefsetz Letter that everyone should be subscribed to. Pay particular attention to the paragraph I have highlighted STADIUM ACTS Are not bitching about what everybody else is. Money is not their issue. Everybody wants to be in business with them. The transition in the business is evidenced by the fact…

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Money versus Wealth

If you want to create wealth, it will help to understand what it is. Wealth is not the same thing as money. Wealth is as old as human history. Far older, in fact; ants have wealth. Money is a comparatively recent invention. Wealth is the fundamental thing. Wealth is stuff we want: food, clothes, houses,…

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RBA and other Genuises

The recent pronouncement by Glenn Stevens the head of the RBA that the AUD was way too high and that real estate was stuffed piqued my interest the RBA’s ability to forecast. In doing a bit of research I came a across a document by the Treasury that sought to access the forecasts and methodology…

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Dow 17,000 and an idiot magnet

I dont really need to say much about this.   And to put the strength of the US market into context this is the S&P500 monthly.  However, there is always some idiot who thinks they know better than the market. Remember my view – the market is simply a voting machine, it votes on which…

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