The title of this piece is derived from an article in the AFR, which examines what I consider to be a somewhat baffling decision by a reasonably sized local fund to continue shorting CBA despite its strong price growth. The decision by Sage Capital to continue shorting Commonwealth Bank (CBA), despite a +36% rally and…
In the world of trading, complexity is often mistaken for sophistication. Charts littered with oscillators, trend lines, moving averages, Fibonacci retracements, and exotic indicators can give the illusion of control. But beneath that clutter lies a painful truth: no indicator can tell you what will happen next. They tell you what has already happened—filtered, lagged,…
Australia’s ASX 200 has hit a fresh record high—but beneath the headline lies a more complex story. In this video, I break down the internal dynamics of the market, uncovering how mid-caps and small caps are leading the charge while miners lag. We compare global equity markets, analyse the strongest YTD commodities like gold and…
There is an old maxim in trading: if it feels comfortable, then you are probably doing it wrong. Dollar Cost Averaging is one such strategy – it is designed to make you feel better, not make you more profitable. For some odd reason, this topic has been bombarding my inbox for the past week. I…
John John Florence is a three-time World Surf League Champion and one of the most naturally gifted surfers of his generation. This conversation explores John John’s decision to step away from competition at his peak. We discuss his evolution from forcing outcomes to allowing flow, why mastery begins with surrendering control, and transforming pressure into…
That’s impossible. I can’t do that.” We’ve all said it at some point in our lives. Most commonly, we’re starting a fresh endeavour, looking at what it’s going to take, and the task before us seems insurmountable. We’re the primary school students staring at the blank screen, unsure how in the world we’ll get to…
Why Watching the Charts All Day Can Hurt Your Trading One of the most common mistakes novice traders make is assuming that profit comes solely from the time spent on the screen. The more you watch, the more you learn. The more you stare at the chart, the more trades you’ll find. Unfortunately, this is…
Is a new commodities supercycle emerging? This video offers a macro-level analysis of the long-term structural forces shaping commodity markets, providing critical insights for portfolio managers, allocators, and institutional investors seeking inflation protection and uncorrelated returns. We examine the evolving dynamics behind supply constraints, policy shifts, and multi-decade investment cycles impacting energy, metals, and agriculture. ? What…
“Winners quit all the time. They just quit the right stuff at the right time.”— Seth Godin, The Dip Trading Is Full of Dips Every trader, whether beginner or seasoned pro, has faced it: the stagnating equity curve, the stretch of losses that feel personal, the creeping doubt that your edge has vanished. That’s the…
The value of the global art market is roughly $57.5billion—but it’s an opaque market and difficult to assess. Adam attended the international art fair known as Art Basel this year. On this episode, he and Cameron discuss the global business of art. PS: Something else I know nothing about.
One of the most challenging things for traders to accept is that markets matter more than individual stocks. You may have the most comprehensive stock selection system in the world, but if the market within which you are searching is moribund, then your returns will always be suboptimal. Consider the chart below of BMNR, a…
More indicators will not make you safer. More information will not make you omniscient. And more effort will not grant you control over a system that isn’t designed to be controlled. One of the most persistent delusions in trading—affecting both beginners and seasoned professionals—is the belief that every market move must have a knowable cause.…
In the popular imagination, traders are often portrayed as instinct-driven mavericks, reading flickering charts with a gut feel honed through adrenaline and caffeine. Movies and media amplify this mythology—traders shouting into phones, making deals on impulse, riding the chaos of the market. But the reality—at least for those who survive and thrive in the markets—is…
In Japanese aesthetics and philosophy, the concept of “Ma” (間) refers to the space between things, not just a physical gap, but a meaningful pause, a moment of stillness that gives shape and rhythm to everything around it. In music, it’s the silence that gives notes their contour. In architecture, it’s the emptiness that defines…
I am planning to create a video on commodities at some stage, but statements like the one below, made in the AFR, do make me question whether journalists ever take the time to examine a chart. Prices of soybeans and corn, which are both used to produce biofuels, have risen in tandem with diesel and…
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