LATEST BLOGS

Normal Markets

Whilst I was away at the weekend this bounced into my inbox for comment (I don’t know the original source) SPZ s rallied 13.75% from the pre-NYSE open low on October 4 to October 12 high. Normal markets do not rally almost 14% in 6 sessions. Normal buyers do not behave this way. Volume was lacking…

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Normal Markets

Whilst I was away at the weekend this bounced into my inbox for comment (I don’t know the original source) SPZ s rallied 13.75% from the pre-NYSE open low on October 4 to October 12 high. Normal markets do not rally almost 14% in 6 sessions. Normal buyers do not behave this way. Volume was lacking…

Read more

I Rest My Case

At the weekend I attended a conference on the Gold Coast – one of the speakers there made the cardinal sin in my eyes of drifting off topic and rambling. In my view the sign of an unprepared speaker. Part of his rambling related to a magical diet he was on – by the way…

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Benfords Law

In chatting about Greece and its systematic dishonesty I made reference to this post by Tim Harford. It talks about the intriguing Benfords Law which according to wikipedia is …….also called the first-digit law, states that in lists of numbers from many (but not all) real-life sources of data, the leading digit is distributed in a specific,…

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Margin Call

Looks interesting Margin Call is one of several low-budget ($3.5 million), accessibly commercial smart films for adults debuting at Sundance that got made with a major cast willing to work for nothing against the promise of worthy material and a decent back end.

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Margin Call

Looks interesting Margin Call is one of several low-budget ($3.5 million), accessibly commercial smart films for adults debuting at Sundance that got made with a major cast willing to work for nothing against the promise of worthy material and a decent back end.

Read more

Benfords Law

In chatting about Greece and its systematic dishonesty I made reference to this post by Tim Harford. It talks about the intriguing Benfords Law which according to wikipedia is …….also called the first-digit law, states that in lists of numbers from many (but not all) real-life sources of data, the leading digit is distributed in a specific,…

Read more

Hedge Fund Wreckage Part Two

Who would it thunk it could have got any worse It looks more an more like Paulson fluked his GFC trade. The thing that surprises me is that these firms employ squillions of bright people and not one of them seems to understand the most basic concept of not chasing losses and actually listening to…

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Hedge Fund Wreckage Part Two

Who would it thunk it could have got any worse It looks more an more like Paulson fluked his GFC trade. The thing that surprises me is that these firms employ squillions of bright people and not one of them seems to understand the most basic concept of not chasing losses and actually listening to…

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Hedge Fund Wreckage

From Bloomberg Of course, the most visible big loser this year is John Paulson. For example, through September 27, Paulson Advantage Fund was down 6 percent for the month and more than 28 percent for the year, while Paulson Advantage Plus, which takes on additional leverage, is presumably down even more. Paulson International Fund was…

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Hedge Fund Wreckage

From Bloomberg Of course, the most visible big loser this year is John Paulson. For example, through September 27, Paulson Advantage Fund was down 6 percent for the month and more than 28 percent for the year, while Paulson Advantage Plus, which takes on additional leverage, is presumably down even more. Paulson International Fund was…

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Trading Expo

Just back from a visit to the latest trading expo and I have some observations not necessarily in any order of importance. 1. Scrubbers are in – content is out. There were no shortage of stands for people I had never heard of whose main way of attracting attention was to have tarts with big…

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