Along with the bleating of the crypto crowd that the current collapse is all a conspiracy – which tells you a lot about the psychology of people who take crypto seriously is the whinging of fundamental advisor types who are apparently telling their clients don’t worry the market always goes up. Apparently, they cannot differentiate…
As everyone should know I am a great believer in luck playing an invisible hand in the success that many people enjoy. And there does come a time when you can spot luck deserting someone as the need for skill becomes apparent. The hedge fund Tiger Global has lost 66% of all investor gains accumulated…
Commentary on matters financial has always fascinated me because it reveals a great deal about those offering it. During the pandemic, we had people who at one stage were complaining that their 10 years old science homework was too hard also giving commentary on matters ranging from the intricacies of immunology to public health. Currently,…
Whilst scrolling through ASX listed ETO stocks I noticed something interesting – the performance of the top 20 listed stocks is quite mixed and different to the broader index. The chart below shows the S&P/ASX20 (white) versus the S&P/ASX200 (blue). The S&P/ASX20 is down about 0.59% YTD whereas the S&P/ASX200 is down 6.1% YTD. Given…
In 1979, President Jimmy Carter gave his famous “Crisis of Confidence” speech (also known as the “malaise” speech, though he didn’t actually use the word). Forty-three years later, it seems as if the country is stuck in at least as bad of a funk. In a recent article, Derek Thompson of the Atlantic reported on rising feelings of…
The chart below is of the RBA cash rate – if you blow the chart up and squint really hard you can see the recent rise in the cash rate. Apparently, this return to normal transmission where interest rates do something other than go down continually is causing a few people to have conniptions. Taking…
A Ford GT owner in Boca Raton, Florida crashed his recently purchased supercar into a tree Friday evening because he was “unfamiliar with how to drive stick shift,” police say. The driver, 50-year-old Robert J. Guarini, told cops he lost control after downshifting while leaving his housing development at around 6 p.m, a police report says. This…
Every generation bears witness to the destruction of wealth – all booms end in a bust that is the natural cycle of the markets. These busts always follow on the heels of what has become known as irrational exuberance and this exuberance is fueled by hubris. But as each investing generation learns price goeth before…
One of the eternal truths about trading is that it is conducted by humans and humans are flawed. This is simply the nature of the universe. However, what this means is that all humans irrespective of culture, background, or education are prone to making the same errors. There is a great myth in markets that…
RobinHood (HOOD) was supposed to redo the way people “did” trading by removing what was considered the old stuffy Wall Street way of doing things by effectively gamifying trading. Perhaps not today. What the likes of HOOD, PTON, and ZM demonstrate is that the one constant in markets is that history repeats. Irrational exuberance is…
Coincidence is a wonderfully odd thing. Whilst filling the truck at the local petrol station this morning a car pulled up at the bowser next to me – there is nothing earth-shatteringly exciting about this other than the interesting fact that it had three reasonably new parking tickets on under one of its windscreen wipers.…
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