Aston Martin DB10
Critical Thinking 101
One of the issues that bedevil us as both humans and traders is our ability to think clearly and rationally about subjects. We are prone to making snap judgments based upon the flimsiest of evidence. I get any and all manner of rubbish sent to me – some of it by people who should know…
The Tantalizing Links between Gut Microbes and the Brain
Microbes and the brain have rarely been thought to interact except in instances when pathogens penetrate the blood–brain barrier—the cellular fortress protecting the brain against infection and inflammation. When they do, they can have strong effects: the virus that causes rabies elicits aggression, agitation and even a fear of water. But for decades, the vast…
This Is Interesting.
The good folks at Hedge Fund Research Inc produce a small cornucopia of data on the performance of hedge funds across a variety of categories. It is not the most riveting read but then pages of data metrics are not really supposed to be. However, the wealth of data does allow you to extract various pieces…
Restoring Confidence After Losing
This is from a boxing and conditioning coach Ross Enamait who I find to be a bit of the go to bloke for old school conditioning. It might not seem relevant but substitute the voice of a coach for the voice that occurs inside your own head and all of a sudden it becomes relevant…
James Simons – Numberphile
There are smart people and then there are people like James Simons. This is a long form interview but it is worth watching even if it over a few sittings.
Importance of Simple Forecasting Methods
As long ago as the fourth century B.C., scientists have argued in favor of simplicity. Perhaps the most familiar expression of the importance of simplicity for science is the 14th century formulation known as Occam’s razor, a line of reasoning that holds that the simplest answer is often correct. The preference for simplicity in science…
How Using a Decision Journal can Help you Make Better Decisions
One question I’m often asked is what should a decision journal look like? You should care enormously whether you’re making good ones or bad ones. After all, in most knowledge organizations,your product is decisions. A good decision process matters more than analysis by a factor of six. A process or framework for making decisions, however,…
How Athletes Can Stay ‘Fast After 50’
As we get older, most of us get slower. But aging athletes may be able to stave off those changes more successfully than most people realize. That’s the conclusion that Joe Friel, a celebrated triathlete, coach and author, reaches in his new book, “Fast After 50.” As he approached his 70th birthday, Mr. Friel began…
Daniel Kahneman on Intuition and the Outside View
Michael Mauboussin: When does intuition work or fail? Daniel Kahneman: Intuition works less often than we think. There is no such thing as professional “expertise.” The Intuitions in chess masters develop with “big data” comes from experience. For people, the immediacy of feedback is especially important to learn the basis of expertise. When feedback comes…
Dickheads
It is only isolating if you are a dickhead – which is true of most things in life. It’s a rainy Wednesday morning and Clay Cockrell is sitting in his office at Columbus Circle across the street from 1 Central Park West, which houses Trump International Hotel and Tower. In front of the tower is…
Can You Smell The Irony?
An outbreak of the measles at Kenneth Copeland’s Texas megachurch has gotten some attention because (1) measles is something children are generally vaccinated for, these days and (2) Kenneth Copeland is, of course, an anti-vaccine crackpot. In what seems to be yet another bitterly ironic attempt by God to teach noisy religious fundamentalists what-for, the…
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