LATEST BLOGS

Noise

Once upon a time I used to believe that trading was an information management profession but I have slowly begun to change my opinion. Trading has become a noise management profession – noise is everywhere in trading and its influence is becoming more pronounced as time marches on. When I first became interested in markets…

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Do Incentive Fees Signal Skill?

Yeah….no…..maybe….ah…apparently not…. We examine the relation between incentive fees and hedge fund performance. In an industry where information asymmetries (and the consequent risk of agency problems) are severe, the efficacy of such outcomes-based contracting to align investor and manager interests is of fundamental importance to investors. Consistent with theory, we find that the higher a hedge fund’s incentive…

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Clock Timers Versus Event Timers

One of the biggest problems people have when they come to trading is the notion of self responsibility, people are so used to abrogating responsibility for their own lives to someone else that they literally do not know how to get into the drivers seat. This poses all sorts of problems because trading as a…

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The Mockingbird Next Door: Life With Harper Lee

To Kill a Mockingbird remains one of my favourite books and films. I will regularly ensconce myself on the coach when it comes on. There are many reasons to be grateful for “The Mockingbird Next Door,”Marja Mills’s wonderful memoir of Harper Lee and her sister, and being enticed to re-read “To Kill a Mockingbird” is just one of…

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Bubble, Bubble….

There is much talk around the google box that the current move in markets is a sign of an investment bubble. I am not so convinced – the moment markets actually go up people start screaming bubble followed by here comes the crash. Such cries are merely the emotional swings of hormonal market commentators. However,…

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How To Blow $9 Billion

AS WITH MANY OF AMERICA’S GREAT FORTUNES, the Stroh family’s story starts with an immigrant: Bernhard Stroh, who arrived in Detroit from Germany in 1850 with $150 and a coveted family recipe for beer. He sold his brews door-to-door in a wheelbarrow. By 1890 his sons, Julius and Bernhard Jr., were shipping beer around the Great…

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A Billionaire Mathematician’s Life of Ferocious Curiosity

James H. Simons likes to play against type. He is a billionaire star of mathematics and private investment who often wins praise for his financial gifts to scientific research and programs to get children hooked on math. But in his Manhattan office, high atop a Fifth Avenue building in the Flatiron district, he’s quick to tell…

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The Aggregation of Marginal Gains

I came across this chart in this article about how British cycling coach Dave Brailsford turned British cycling into a world powerhouse dominating the last Olympics and producing the last two Tour De France winners. Brailsford set about his task but generating tiny almost imperceptible gains over  long period of time . The chart below gives…

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Lefsetz: The Tiers

This is from the wonderful Lefsetz Letter that everyone should be subscribed to. Pay particular attention to the paragraph I have highlighted STADIUM ACTS Are not bitching about what everybody else is. Money is not their issue. Everybody wants to be in business with them. The transition in the business is evidenced by the fact…

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Money versus Wealth

If you want to create wealth, it will help to understand what it is. Wealth is not the same thing as money. Wealth is as old as human history. Far older, in fact; ants have wealth. Money is a comparatively recent invention. Wealth is the fundamental thing. Wealth is stuff we want: food, clothes, houses,…

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