One of my bugbears is historians who draw lines through history and present it as a linear narrative. As an example, the Treaty of Versailles, lead to the Weimar Republic whose collapse was inevitable which lead to the rise of Hitler which leads to the Second World War and all its associated horrors. It is…
Let me start with a general statement – t world is awash with cretins when it comes to any event that doesn’t involve watching reality TV, piss farting around on social media, waxing your genitals and shaving off your eyebrows and then drawing them 3cms higher than they were with a sharpie. There is no…
One of the side benefits of getting older is that you realise there is nothing new. This seems to be particularly true in regard to new traders who think they have made a new and novel mistake and market “experts” who think they have invented something new. I am not certain whether it is comforting…
t’s the final moment before an important endeavor—a speech, a performance, a presentation, an interview, a date, or perhaps a sports match. Up until now, you’ve felt good and confident about your abilities. But suddenly, something shifts. You feel a wave of self-doubt. You start questioning how well you prepared. The urge to run away…
……Consider a 2010 study of United States Air Force Cadets in which psychologists from the National Bureau of Economic Research tracked a cohort of cadets over 4 years. The researchers found that while there was variability in fitness gains/losses across all the cadets, there was hardly any variability within squadrons. Squadrons are groups of about 30 cadets…
Apparently the world is sitting on the edge of a global pandemic that will wipe out society as we know it, that’s at least according to the media and its reporting of the outbreak of the coronavirus in Southern China. To date, the virus has killed 26 people to date. To put this into context…
Apropos my piece yesterday on TSLA I thought it would be interesting to compare the performance of the FAANG stocks over a range of time periods.
This was the title of an article that caught my eye whilst having tea and toast with LB down at my local this morning. The thing that is hard to bet against is the price of TSLA – which if the press is to be believed seems to have become somewhat of a national sport…
I believe every traders library should have a copy of Owning Your Own Shadow by Robert A Johnson which is a quick exploration of the nature of the shadow and tole it plays in our lives.
I am a relative newcomer to social media as such I find it a fascinating ecosystem for self-aggrandisement ( a favourite of doctors and strength coaches) outright lying ( system developers who have never had a drawdown and 14 years olds who claim they can squat 300kg) and general nonsense of a motivational nature. I…
Nothing will change your future trajectory like your habits. We all have goals, big or small, things we want to achieve within a certain time frame. Some people want to make a million dollars by the time they turn 30. Some people want to lose 20 pounds before summer. Some people want to write a…
“It only took 4,209 days, but I am finally even!!!” So declared Stephen Bearce, now a broker at Wells Fargo. He had taken a flier on 100 Bear Stearns shares amid its epic collapse from $171.51 — its record closing price on Jan. 12, 2007 — to where Bearce bought it at $30 a share on Friday, March 14, 2008.…
Smart people are not only just as prone to making mistakes as everyone else—they may even be more susceptible to them. This idea has been dubbed the Intelligence Trap. It explains the flaws in our understanding of intelligence and expertise, and how the decisions of even the brightest minds and talented organisations can backfire. More…
