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These are a few of things that have been on my reading list lately. The Return How Gamblers Get Hot If You Cant Choose Wisely, Pick At Random Practice Not As Important As Thought What’s the Point If We Can’t Have Fun? Why Smart People Are Stupid
I have snipped the two quotes from the always interesting Lefsetz Letter which is ostensibly about the music industry but is actually about so much more. INFORMATION OVERLOAD The twentieth century was all about scarcity, making it to the top and then dominating. Today there’s so much information that you feel inadequate. It’s an endless buffet…
I thought I might take a bit of a longer look at the events of last week and see what they might mean; if anything. One of the interesting things about markets is the presence of perma- bears – that is traders/pundits/general idiots who no matter what the market condition are constantly calling for the…
I have just returned from the AIA Conference – the old buggers put on a reasonably good show. Although, it is one of those events that without the energy of the coordinator Donna Meadows I don’t think it would fly nearly as well. The theme of the conference was Outcome Oriented Strategies for individuals Investors.…
How should you act in the face of such unpredictability? First, don’t listen to doomsayers who are convinced financial calamities are imminent. They don’t know. (This is a powerful piece of advice that is seldom adhered to if my recent trip to the AIA Conference is anything to go by) Second, since avalanches are infrequent,…
This tallies with work down by Brad Barber and Terrance Odean on the relative returns of male and female investors, But the benefits of investing in female-led financial endeavors go even further than the Journal has it: Hedge funds run by women tend to outperform other hedge funds. A report put out in early 2013…
Recently on the Google box there has been a debate as to whether gold is either a better investment than equities or is in fact actually a hedge against inflation. This debate is interesting because of some of the logical fallacies both sides make in trying to justify their arguments. If you ask the simple…
It looks as if at least for the interim the fun might be over – as you would expect I was booted out of my long Dow positions overnight. As can be seen from the above chart pullbacks in extended trends are the norm and the psychology of markets is such that they can…
Do you hide the trades that aren’t going well from your spouse and only show them the ones where you’re making money? Are you a perpetual bull, or a perpetual bear when talking to your spouse? Do you deluge your spouse with details about trading, until their eyes glaze over and they start looking feverishly…
The minute we start to feel like life is mundane is the minute we start to feel old. Ahhh… the enthusiasm and vigour of youth. Makes you envious doesn’t it! Or does it? Is it that you still feel like bouncing out of bed, eager for the day’s challenges? Or, are you feeling stale, tired…
Chris and I are subjected to all sorts of mind blurts from people who are researching buying shares in Australia. Many are feeding their minds crud. Here is a count down of our favourite idiot trading statements… Idiot Trading statement #10: “I can trade alone, without a Mentor… it’s easy”. Far out – Do you even…
One of the issues currently bedevilling FX markets is the combination of low volatility and steady interest rates – these in concert add up to a profoundly dull market where the majority of major pairs are going sideways. Interestingly, it is also have an affect on turnover as can be seen in the chart below.…
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