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One of the most maligned ideas in economics is the efficient market hypothesis, perhaps because what is actually a rather technical statement about financial market returns is conflated with some entirely different claim about the superiority of free markets over government dirigisme. The EMH has various forms, but in brief its message is very simple:…
Wales Online -Speaking at the Entrepreneurs Wales 2012 conference at Cardiff’s City Hall, the Iron Maiden star and founder of Cardiff Aviation urged delegates to make their businesses something their customers could not live without. “The key thing is to figure out how to make yourself invaluable – to be the ultimate virus – to…
This is an excerpt from an interview with Nassim Nicholas Taleb the author of Fooled By Randomness and The Black Swan I am not a raging fan of Taleb but this is very well put. Are you saying that capitalism is good, but that 21st-century capitalism has gone too far? What we do today has nothing…
There are a lot of similarity between golf and trading. Both are fundamentally mental activities and the person who makes the fewest catastrophic errors wins. Golfers are also prone to the same sort of magical thinking that afflicts traders – if I use so and so’s clubs then my game will get better. Which is…
Excellent piece on Amazon and its CEO Jeff Bezo. The part that intrigued me was this – Make no mistake, Amazon rewards its teams. It’s just that restricted stock that becomes valuable only over time — and more valuable only if the company succeeds — is the primary reward. For example, Jeff Wilke, who runs Amazon’s…
I came across the chart below on the weekend. Source – Why Microsoft Beats Apple Unfortunately, it was accompanied by the following quote – Today, those old rivals MicrosoftMSFT -0.53% and AppleAAPL +0.39% both look like inexpensive stocks. Microsoft could be the better value. Not only is it cheaper than Apple relative to its earnings per share, but Microsoft’s…
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