There is a bit of a chat going on within the current mentor program about the teaching of financial literacy within schools. I have no doubt this is probably a good thing but I would actually like them to get around to teaching actual literacy first. The discussion reminded me of this bloke – Dr…
With some folks now proclaiming that Google trends can predict markets…..after they have moved which does defeat the purpose of a prediction system I thought it worth revisiting something I wrote awhile ago about the idiocy of predictive systems. PS: Mary-Anne and Ginger included only for reminiscing. I have a new trading system and judging…
Not bad for a British car – wonder if it would be like my old Triumph Dolomite Sprint and decide that only wants to go on certain days for no apparent reason.
There has been a story doing the rounds in the past week about researches demonstrating the efficacy of tracking key word searches to predict market direction. One news report proudly trumpeted that it was more effective than a stockbroker in making you rich, you can insert your own snarky remark about this. The use of…
I have been rereading parts of Dan Ariely’s The Upside of Irrationality. For those who don’t know of Ariely and his work you can catch up with him on TED. One of the great cognitive biases we face as traders is the notion of herding – that is we run in groups. Institution’s are particularly…
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