ETFs, Earnings Drift, and the Myth of Market Fairness

Every reporting season, we see the same pattern. A major company posts weaker-than-expected results, and its value plunges; the media quickly blames exchange-traded funds (ETFs) for the turmoil. The argument runs that passive investing has “broken” market discovery. It sounds neat, but it oversimplifies a complex reality. Unfortunately, this is the case with this piece…

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The Scale of China

If you look up small, rooted backwaters whose politicians think we are more important than we are in the dictionary, you will find Australia. If you look up a global behemoth with 4000 years of history, you will discover China. I really don’t think people, particularly right-wing politicians, understand the significance of the changes that…

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Bring the Noise

There are three types of investors: momentum, valuation and noise. Momentum investors care about trend, valuation investors care about fundamentals and noise investors care about a random assortment of stuff. Many of us are noise investors, even though we wont realise it. Of course, investment approaches do not all neatly fit into such discrete categories.…

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