Chris Tate, Author at Trading Game

Twitter For Decision Making

Trading PsychologyBy Chris Tate September 19, 2011 1 Comment

Most people know my opinion about twitter – it is the intellectual equivalent of yelling things from a moving car. As such this attempt to to use twitter to track market sentiment doesnt thrill me too much. As an old stats tutor used to constantly drum into our not very bright heads – correlation does…

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Ray Dalio – Nothing Surprising’ About European Crisis

Trading ResourcesBy Chris Tate September 18, 2011

I have written about the interesting (somewhat bonkers) world of Bridgewater the colossal hedge fund. Its founder Ray Dalio has some interesting things to say about Europe and risk.

UBS

Trading ResourcesBy Chris Tate September 18, 2011

How do you inform your employees that one of them has flushed $2B down the toilet – like this. Dear colleagues, We regret to inform you that yesterday we uncovered a case of unauthorized trading by a trader in the Investment Bank. We have reported it to the markets in line with regulatory disclosure obligations.…

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Alpha Or Beta

Trading PsychologyBy Chris Tate September 14, 2011 1 Comment

WSJ:One evening a week, a group of CEOs meets in a Manhattan psychiatrist’s office and engages in an ancient ritual. Ostensibly, it is a support group. Inevitably, it becomes a battle for dominance.”Whenever you put alpha males together, the most aggressive will overpower the others,” says T. Byram Karasu, the veteran psychiatrist who has run…

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Intuitive Thinking

Trading PsychologyBy Chris Tate September 14, 2011

The marvels and the flaws that I’ll be talking about are the marvels and the flaws of intuitive thinking. It’s a topic I’ve been thinking about for a long time, a little over 40 years. I wanted to show you a picture of my collaborator in this early work. What I’ll be trying to do…

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The Political Impasse in Europe Explained With Lego

EconomyBy Chris Tate September 13, 2011

The toreador in a floppy hat, and the F1 driver with his helmet, represent Spain, Italy and the rest of the Euro Periphery. The three men with helmets, shields, and medieval weaponry represent the CDU, CSU and FDP parties in Germany. The blue-and-white sailor boy is Finland. Obvs. The woman with an oversized carrot and her friend in…

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USD Index

Trading ResourcesBy Chris Tate September 10, 2011

This is an interesting little chart. US indices took a bit of a smack overnight but their was not the flight into gold we have seen in the past few weeks – the USD was quite strong last night. The rule remains the same – trade the breakout.

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What If Sir Isaac Newton Had Been A Trendfollower?

Trading ResourcesBy Chris Tate September 10, 2011 1 Comment

Abstract: Investment manias and financial bubbles have likely existed for as long as humans have been involved in financial markets. In this research piece we take a look at some of the more famous market bubbles in history and the extreme volatility and drawdowns they experienced. We then examine a simple trendfollowing approach investors could…

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There Are No Atheists In Foxholes

Trading PsychologyBy Chris Tate September 10, 2011

Several of out mentorees recently took part in the 2011 Investment Trends survey of Trading Behaviour. Buried in the usual stats about numbers of traders and their expectations was the little gem below. This chart looks at the inputs that traders use for their decision making. The interesting point is that traders are using less…

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