The arrival fallacy is the illusion that achieving a long-sought goal will deliver lasting fulfilment. For traders, this fallacy is particularly insidious. Many believe that once they hit a specific profit target, build a consistent track record, or finally make it, they’ll reach permanent satisfaction. In reality, the arrival often feels hollow. The dopamine surge…
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In trading, things go wrong – that is the nature of the business, and other than quitting the business, there is nothing you can do about this universal truth. What makes things going wrong worse is that we are our own worst enemies when it comes to stopping the destructive inner cycle that plagues everyone…
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Wall Street did its own thing after the US midterms, and the result was far more interesting than the political headlines suggested. The Dow surged roughly 3%, but beneath the rising indices, a cluster of companies supplying the AI boom took a hammering. A quick recap of the overnight action shows the following – Interestingly,…
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One of the most interesting and encouraging things about trading is that everyone’s experience is the same. The journey is unique, but the experience of it is the same for everyone. Let me give you an example – you spot a setup that has worked in testing and application dozens of times before. It has…
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This episode breaks down the market psychology, corporate hype, and underlying financial risks driving the current AI investment bubble. It explores how Fear Of Missing Out (FOMO) creates inflated expectations across individual traders and massive corporations, examines severe cash burn and obligation risks in major AI startups, draws key lessons from historical tech manias like…
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This should not come as a surprise to people who have lived in certain suburbs in Melbourne and Sydney
Apparently, 84% of S&P 500 stocks are below their all-time high. Most have interpreted this as a silent crash unfolding in the index. This has been accompanied by the usual amount of wailing and gnashing of teeth. Fortunately, those who simply looked at the headline number and made a pronouncement are WRONG. Looking at the…
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Trading doesn’t require you to be a superstar every second of the trading day. It does require that you pay attention to what you are doing before your impulses overwhelm you. You can recite the rules of your system chapter and verse and still break them. Here is a simple question for those whose system…
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