The Arrival Fallacy

The arrival fallacy is the illusion that achieving a long-sought goal will deliver lasting fulfilment. For traders, this fallacy is particularly insidious. Many believe that once they hit a specific profit target, build a consistent track record, or finally make it, they’ll reach permanent satisfaction. In reality, the arrival often feels hollow. The dopamine surge…

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Ten Minutes With Tate Has AI S^*t The Bed?

This episode breaks down the market psychology, corporate hype, and underlying financial risks driving the current AI investment bubble. It explores how Fear Of Missing Out (FOMO) creates inflated expectations across individual traders and massive corporations, examines severe cash burn and obligation risks in major AI startups, draws key lessons from historical tech manias like…

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Careful What You Wish For

Traders often describe periods when “nothing is working.” Every breakout fails, every exit appears poorly timed, and every missed opportunity seems to confirm that they have lost their touch. This is a universal complaint among all traders – there do seem to be times when absolutely nothing works – or so it seems. The difficulty…

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Fake It Till You Make It

New traders often assume confidence should come before action. They expect to feel calm, certain and fully prepared before placing their first trade. Until that feeling arrives, they continue studying, refining rules and searching for reassurance. This creates the “ready trap”: the belief that uncertainty must disappear before trading can begin. Yet confidence is neither…

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