Betting on binary outcomes—such as the outcome of a drug trial—introduces a fundamentally different risk profile to most forms of trading. In conventional market environments, trades tend to fail gradually. Prices move against the position in increments, allowing the trader to respond: stops can be adjusted, positions reduced, or risk reassessed. Losses unfold over time,…
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The chart below is a year to date comparison of crude oil and natural gas. What is immediately apparent is the performance differential between the two since the start of the latest conflict in the Middle East. This is interesting because superficially, when we view commodities within a given sector, we tend to think of…
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Financial markets contain certain relationships that appear sacrosanct. Traders are comforted by rules that never seem to alter, and by which they believe they could literally set their watches. One of the most persistent links is betweenmadness in the Middle East, rising oil prices, and gold prices. Historically, the pattern has been straightforward. When geopolitical…
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Fear. It can freeze you… Or it can forge you. In this deeply personal episode, Louise Bedford sits down with Anne Wicking and Jo Wiese from What’s Fear Got to Do With It? to explore how fear shapes who we become – in life, and in trading. From a childhood marked by poverty and addiction, to health crises that stole her voice and…
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A recent video on our YouTube channel – it is an interesting question that deserves a more complete answer than you can generate in the comments section under a video. The question was as follows – Could the main source of psychological problems be a lack of technical knowledge and skills? One of the most…
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The break is over – and this episode is about getting back into a trading rhythm that actually works. In this Talking Trading conversation, Louise Bedford unpacks a problem that sits behind so many stalled trading journeys: Hesitation. Waiting for certainty. Delaying decisions. Watching setups form and then letting them go. A loss can teach…
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The AFR recently ran a piece on professional punter Kinglsley Bartholomew – unfortunately, as with most things, it sits behind a paywall. I have extracted several quotations that illustrate the overlap between processional punting and trading. 1. Loss Tolerance Is a Core Skill, Not a By-Product Quote: “I’m used to losing, and after doing it…
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Language determines software, software determines behaviour. This simple series of steps catches traders unaware – there is a belief that markets destabilise traders when it is the unregulated response to markets that is the major destabilising element for traders. Price moves, volatility expands, and uncertainty is revealed—but it is the trader’s internal narration that turns…
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In trading, profitability is rarely about predicting the market with flawless foresight. Instead, it often depends on how you frame risk, execute consistently, and allow probability to work in your favour. Two terms that are frequently confused but vitally important to distinguish are precision and accuracy. They sound similar, yet for traders, they represent entirely…
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