Cocktail Party Indicator

“If the professional economists can’t predict economies and professional forecasters can’t predict markets, then what chance does the amateur investor have? You know the answer already, which brings me to my own ‘cocktail party’ theory of market forecasting, developed over the years of standing in the middle of living rooms, near punch bowls, listing to…

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Madoff Interview

The notion of a fraud as large as that perpetrated by Bernie Madoff intrigues me and offers a   lesson for traders.  Madoffs great sales hook was that his form offer very high returns – there is nothing unusual about this but what was unusual about Madoff is that he made this offer with a…

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