We Don’t Have Hundred Biases, We Have The Wrong Model
From the time of Aristotle through to the 1500s, the dominant model of the universe had the sun, planets, and stars orbiting around the Earth. This simple model, however, did not match what could be seen in the skies. Venus appears in the evening or morning. It never crosses the night sky as we would…
Details
The Behavioural Lessons of Gilt Market Turmoil
Much of the focus on the dramatic and unprecedented sell-off in gilt markets this week has been centred on the technical factors that led to an intervention from the Bank of England, potentially worth £65bn. Whilst the tribulations of the Liability Driven Investment strategies used by pension schemes are both fascinating and concerning, these periods…
Details
The First Totally Honest Stock Market Story
The market rallied early this morning for reasons nobody understands and nobody predicted. CNBC analysts confidently asserted it had something to do with the Senegalese money supply but others pointed to revised monthly figures showing a poor tuna haul off the Peruvian coast. The Dow turned down in late morning due to profit-taking—which is a…
Details
An Economist Studied Popular Finance Tips. Some Might Be Leading You Astray
Managing your money is obviously an important part of being a responsible adult. But how should you do that? It turns out that there’s a large gulf between the advice given by the authors of popular finance books and academic economists. In a new study titled “Popular Personal Financial Advice versus the Professors,” the Yale financial economist James…
Details
