In August, the global financial architecture didn’t just stumble; it slammed into a $40 trillion wall. For an American economy that has long feasted on the “exorbitant privilege” of the dollar, this isn’t just a sobering milestone—it is a staggering signal that the era of easy fiscal expansion is over.
Yep – its all just a word salad……
1. The Passenger’s Dilemma Your ego is your portfolio’s greatest enemy. Most investors operate under the delusion that they are the drivers of their financial destiny, possessing some “variant perception” that allows them to outsmart the market’s collective intelligence. We are never drivers; we are only ever passengers – no decision we make has any…
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The answer to this is fairly simple. One put an end to the 17th-century Dutch dream of being a global power, and the other may bankrupt staggering numbers of individuals. What prompted this little piece and the accompanying infographic was a quote I heard from a company CEO that his token costs (the cost for…
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Most investors believe currency hedging reduces risk.It sounds intelligent. It sounds prudent. It sounds like control. But in reality? Currency hedging often does the exact opposite. In this video, I break down why hedged ETFs—like the difference between IVV and IHVV— don’t reduce risk, don’t improve returns, and may actually damage long-term performance. Because what…
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One of the things I find most intriguing about this industry is that often a table, a chart, or a statement is offered, and it’s offered with a context or nuance, and that means there is very little understanding about what is driving what the chart or table. In this episode, I will discuss the…
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For decades, the sell-side analyst was a market hero. Their notes could and did move markets, their calls were quoted in the press, and their proximity to CEOs made them seem like gatekeepers of secret knowledge. That age is over. The world has changed with AI-driven data, real-time news flow, and algorithmic markets; the analyst…
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The title of this piece is derived from an article in the AFR, which examines what I consider to be a somewhat baffling decision by a reasonably sized local fund to continue shorting CBA despite its strong price growth. The decision by Sage Capital to continue shorting Commonwealth Bank (CBA), despite a +36% rally and…
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There is an old maxim in trading: if it feels comfortable, then you are probably doing it wrong. Dollar Cost Averaging is one such strategy – it is designed to make you feel better, not make you more profitable. For some odd reason, this topic has been bombarding my inbox for the past week. I…
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