I receive a lot of emails from people asking ‘How do I get the right mindset to really excel?’ Usually they want something for free to give them a taste of what they need to come out as a winner. While I love helping people, I do get frustrated, because usually, most of the things…
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This is an excellent little piece on the need for noise management in trading. 1. Consider your source. Unless the source is unimpeachable, ignore it. Experts (and especially phony experts) are prone to the same weaknesses all of us are, of course. Philip Tetlock’s excellent Expert Political Judgment examines why experts are so often wrong in sometimes excruciating detail.…
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I posted a variation of this chart yesterday and I was thinking about it last night as to how people would interpret its relevance. I could construct a narrative that went along the lines of the market is congesting and therefore should opt for not adding to any of my current US positions. Alternatively I…
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Not directly trading related but it does share some commonality with the traders journey. As we grow up, we share more of our life with our partners than with our friends or family. While I was lucky to have such an amazing girl, it was so sad to see many of my entrepreneur friends breaking…
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There are two things that I regard as permanent fixtures of trading – drawdowns and the need for resilience. People come to trading all bright and enthusiastic with the belief that their equity will resemble a lunar launch – it will go straight up and never come down. When this magical state of affairs does…
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My wife does yoga, which if you met her family you would realise that is not the only form of mental illness her family. Some of the people she does yoga with are prone to what I would call demented magical thinking. You know the type, we never went to the moon, the contrails planes generate at…
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