Tim Harford On Error And The God Complex
I have referenced the work of Tim Harford particularly his wonderful series of podcasts This is an excellent video of the fallibilities of humans and the errors we make.
DetailsOur Predictions Are Shit……..Who Cares?
I have opined at length about predictions within the financial market and how crap people are at making predictions and how they and everyone else dont seem to care about their lack of accuracy. Their is not the slightest hint of embarrassment among experts that they are continually wrong. This nice little piece by Robin…
DetailsWhy We Screw Up?
Psychologist: Why we screw up when the heat is on Psychologist Sian Beilock has investigated what happens in the brain when our performance crumbles under pressure. She talked to Tiffany O’Callaghan about what it takes to stay on form under stress, and why being smarter can be more hindrance than help What made you want to research…
DetailsWho Is A Clever Dick Then?
I’ve often thought that trading is the world’s most equal opportunity employer. This wonderful fact comes about because the market neither knows nor cares about you. Therefore by extension it doesn’t care about your age, race, religion, sex or education. The fact that you may have an MBA from the Wharton School of Business or…
DetailsI’m O.K., You’re a Psychopath
Little essay from the NY Times reviewing – The Science of Evil: On Empathy and the Origins of Cruelty by Cambridge cognitive scientist Simon Baron Cohen (his cousin is comic Sasha Braon Cohen) Cohen also discusses the same concepts here If ever you wanted an example of the appalling nature capacity of the human race…
DetailsHead Shrinking
As an intellectual pursuit trading is not a difficult endeavour, the rules are quite simple and they revolve around the central tenet of cutting your losses and letting your profits run. This maxim has been with traders for generation and a failure to recognise its importance has even afflicted the greatest traders. The late Jesse…
DetailsAfter a recession, the least rational rise (temporarily) to prominence. Ignore them.
Excellent article by Barry Ritzholtz that was published in the Washington Post regarding the end of the work or the lack thereof. If you are reading this, the previously scheduled end of the world did not occur. Perhaps the date was wrong — next Saturday night? 1994? October? No matter. Despite millennia of Armageddon forecasts,…
DetailsGroupon
The current bubble in social media companies is fascinating to watch and has all the hallmarks of every bubble since the Dutch Tulip boom. I have had a voyeuristic interest in Groupon for some time. I have a mate whose extended family is involved in a similar venture domestically – which has proved to be…
DetailsInvestment Advice from George Carlin
Excellent little piece by Kent Thune – The Investment Philosopher I believe philosophers can be the best investors and that comedians can be the best philosophers. Therefore one may logically deduce that comedians can make the best investors. Look no further than the philosophy of the late and great George Carlin to prove my point:…
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