Superstition appears to arise from situations of uncertainty (Burger & Lynn, 2005; Felson & Gmelch, 1979; Vyse, 1997). Skinner (1948) was one of the first to document’ superstition’ as a way of describing the behaviors pigeons showed when reinforced with food on a fixed time interval. The pigeons were presented with a situation in which…
Have you ever fired up the Google box for the purposes of finding something pertinent and relevant to your next task only to find yourself four hours later amazed by your new found knowledge that a crocodile cannot stick out its tongue or that there is no Betty Rubble in The Flintstones chewable vitamins. Seeking…
I have referenced the work of Tim Harford particularly his wonderful series of podcasts This is an excellent video of the fallibilities of humans and the errors we make.
I have opined at length about predictions within the financial market and how crap people are at making predictions and how they and everyone else dont seem to care about their lack of accuracy. Their is not the slightest hint of embarrassment among experts that they are continually wrong. This nice little piece by Robin…
Psychologist: Why we screw up when the heat is on Psychologist Sian Beilock has investigated what happens in the brain when our performance crumbles under pressure. She talked to Tiffany O’Callaghan about what it takes to stay on form under stress, and why being smarter can be more hindrance than help What made you want to research…
I’ve often thought that trading is the world’s most equal opportunity employer. This wonderful fact comes about because the market neither knows nor cares about you. Therefore by extension it doesn’t care about your age, race, religion, sex or education. The fact that you may have an MBA from the Wharton School of Business or…
Little essay from the NY Times reviewing – The Science of Evil: On Empathy and the Origins of Cruelty by Cambridge cognitive scientist Simon Baron Cohen (his cousin is comic Sasha Braon Cohen) Cohen also discusses the same concepts here If ever you wanted an example of the appalling nature capacity of the human race…
As an intellectual pursuit trading is not a difficult endeavour, the rules are quite simple and they revolve around the central tenet of cutting your losses and letting your profits run. This maxim has been with traders for generation and a failure to recognise its importance has even afflicted the greatest traders. The late Jesse…
Excellent article by Barry Ritzholtz that was published in the Washington Post regarding the end of the work or the lack thereof. If you are reading this, the previously scheduled end of the world did not occur. Perhaps the date was wrong — next Saturday night? 1994? October? No matter. Despite millennia of Armageddon forecasts,…
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