I recently came across this paper Complex Dynamics in Learning Complicated Games which looks at why some games are easy to master whereas some harder skill based games such as Go or chess are much harder to master. In simple games with a limited number of moves the most effective strategy is fairly easy to…
This is probably a question that many on the sidelines are asking themselves having missed the final quarter rally in equity markets. To be honest it is actually an extremely difficult question for a multitude of reasons. 1. There is the eternal question of have you missed the boat? 2. What happens if the market…
Unfortunately within the finance industry we are surrounded by brain dead plonks (generally economists) who make endless predictions all of which turn out to be wrong. Disappointingly these idiots are never held to account for their all pervasive cretinism. Pundit Tracker is a US centric site but at first glance it seems like a good…
I was trying to think of a reasonably concise list of the mistakes traders make on a regular basis and came up with the following. •Under capitalized. •Reliance on external sources. •Lack of a trading plan. •Inconsistent application of a trading plan. •Not taking losses. •Cutting profits too soon. •Misunderstanding how markets operate. •Lack of…
Of late my various feeds have been inundated by stories about Apple and its recent fall. For those of you who are late to the party here is a quick catch up. Apple makes things that a group known as fan-bois buy, fan-bois often queue up for days in advance to buy the latest iwanker.…
Lengthy article (but worth the time) on entrepreneurship as seen by Richard Branson. Q: What are the key emotional and psychological drivers for an entrepreneur? [Sir Richard Branson] It’s a combination of passion, vision, creativity and a sense of adventure. I have said on many occasions the reason to start a new business should…
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