Prediction Markets

Came across this interesting little paper. The title can be a little confusing since the term prediction market is simply used to convey a market that generates odds. When they say prediction market think bookmaker. The gist of the paper is that such markets have been used for centuries for a variety of events but…

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Idiots Abroad

So I am reclining last night reading the latest issue of New Scientist when I come across an article referring to Indian rationalist Sanal Edamaruku.  Edamaruku is a sort of Indian James Randi in that he looks at claims made by superstitious idiots and then promptly points out that they are superstitious idiots….my kinda guy……

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Junk Mail

One of the more persistent pieces of spam to fill my inbox is those little gems that relate to people or software’s ability to predict the market. I suppose this is the joy of having an email address that has the word trading in it. They generally start their pitch with something along the lines…

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