F#$k me…………if you say the same thing every year for the better part of two decades eventually you might get it right……….. The Dow Jones Industrial Average set a record this week, but it’s still far from the mark that economist Kevin Hassett and I forecast in our 1999 book, “Dow 36,000.” We wrote in the introduction that…
This is becoming as monotonous as it is becoming predictable. Once again we have a big of a slip in the market and it is blamed upon action in our Northern neighbour. To me the issue is simple, only simpletons believe that China will be the saviour of Australia and for that matter the rest…
If I remember correctly Robert Prechter was once quoted as saying the Dow was going to 100 points. I must have missed it if it did. The issue here is that if you are constantly bearish and calling the end of the world sooner or later you will be right. Its a bit like being…
I recently came across this paper Complex Dynamics in Learning Complicated Games which looks at why some games are easy to master whereas some harder skill based games such as Go or chess are much harder to master. In simple games with a limited number of moves the most effective strategy is fairly easy to…
This is probably a question that many on the sidelines are asking themselves having missed the final quarter rally in equity markets. To be honest it is actually an extremely difficult question for a multitude of reasons. 1. There is the eternal question of have you missed the boat? 2. What happens if the market…
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