Decades as an investor and trader on Wall Street have taught me that market panics come and go. Geopolitics, inflation and dire warnings, among other variables, can make a mess of things — and the ensuing volatility often fuels our urge to make a decision, any decision. Especially the bad kind. More here – Bloomberg
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I have been working through Steve Magness’s book Win the Inside Game. Generally, these sorts of self-help books don’t do much for me since they all revolve around basic concepts that any adult who wants to move forward should already have on board. My somewhat harsh interpretation is if you have to get it from…
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Imagine it’s ten years ago and you are assessing the relative merits of market cap weighted exposure to US equities and an equally weighted allocation. Across a range of valuation metrics you can see that the equal weighted index is moderately cheaper. As luck would have it you also have a crystal ball that tells…
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“It’s 10 pm, I’m going to bed,” is what I told the group of friends, teammates, and strangers who were gathered in our house for a get-together during college. It was a Friday night and I had a long run the next morning. For much of my time, I was a bit obsessive. I wanted…
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It is that time of year when traders evaluate their performance in the previous year. In this video, I follow up on a video I posted in early 2024 that cast an eye over the less than stellar performance of one of my shorter-term systems. I look at what worked, what didn’t, and more importantly,…
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There has never been a better time to be an investor. We have unprecedented choice, transparency and control. There has also never been a worse time to be an investor. We have unprecedented choice, transparency and control. More here – The Behavioural Investor
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As the New Year rolls around the media is once again awash with its annual range of predictions for the year ahead. Despite their complete inaccuracy predictions are unfortunately a dominant art of the economic landscape. This raises the question of why people make predictions even though they know they will be wrong and…
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The psychology underlining all high-performance endeavours is universal, and as such, the broad principles can be translated across fields. A recent meta-analysis on the impact of goal setting on performance found the following to be true. Process related goals had a large impact on outcomes. In the trading arena, this would relate to the goal…
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1………. Some may miss the irony, but I will have some more to say about predictions and their pointlessness in an upcoming video.
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