In the circuitous way you often come to things I was looking at a collection of charts on base metals. As you can see from the screenshot below there really has been nothing to get excited about over the past few years, which puts lie to the notion of our supposed mining boom. What we…
Financial research is highly prone to statistical distortion. Academics have the choice of many thousands of stocks, bonds and currencies being traded across dozens of countries, complete with decades’ worth of daily price data. They can backtest thousands of correlations to find a few that appear to offer profitable strategies. The paper points out that…
According to the Sydney Morning Herald there has been an exodus of funds from large superannuation funds into self managed funds. The number of people with DIY super funds has grown by more than 30 per cent during the past five years to more than 1 million, collectively worth, in December last year, a whopping $568 billion.…
As someone who comes from a data driven background one of the things that has always intrigued me about financial markets is that despite being a wellspring of raw data it is driven by narratives. Humans do seem to prefer stories over data – in effect we are a hairless ape that prefers stories to…
This little piece interested me and I don’t have any real problem with its basic thrust which is that the financial planning industry is failing its clients in search of revenue. After all, this is an industry that lobbied hard not to be forced to act in the best interest of the client. However, my…
I grabbed the piece below from a social drivel site because it neatly explores something I spoke about in Sydney last week. This offers a paradox in that it attempts to explain something that needs no explanation and the explanation it offers is wrong. I say that the movement in the market requires no explanation…
This is fascinating. From Japanese electronics to reckless banks and middle eastern airlines, the fate of Premier League shirt sponsors has been tied closely to that of the world economy. West Ham United was the latest club to be sideswiped by the financial markets this month when its main commercial backer, foreign exchange dealer Alpari, was…
Apparently BP produce a yearly very data heavy review of the state of world energy. For those who want to wade through it I have produced it below and the original can be downloaded from here. The review contains the chart below which looks at the historical price of crude and drops in some…
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